pazzo83

hoping the UHI comes thru here and we just get rain

13 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Short Pump with a 3 at the buzzer

from the parking lot!!! (by Macy's at the Short Pump Town Center)

we better see some snow pics jeb

we should start a contest guessing the first 70 degree day of the year.

7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Based on radar it looks like DC and places just south will wake up to a “surprise” trace if not something measurable, if only slightly.

 

yep, light snow here downtown, 32/23.

Just now, psuhoffman said:

Significant snow ANY date is rare  

 

i think it's pretty safe to say that a 5" snowstorm after Feb 20 in the immediate DC metro is much rarer than it is from Jan 1 to Feb 20.  If we count the number of such storms that have happened in that period vs the number of times where such a storm hasn't happened, I would wager that the latter would far outnumber the former.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

We just had a snowstorm on March 21 3 years ago!  We had a big snows in March 2015,  2014 and 2009 also. It’s always a struggle to get snow in the cities but it doesn’t suddenly become impossible on a set date. After about Feb 15 it does start to get harder but very gradually a little each day until late March when it does hit a wall. 

sure, but a snowstorm around here in late march is what, a 3 or 4 sigma event?  probabilistically,  significant snow after mid feb is rare, and becoming rarer.

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

This isn’t true. We’ve had snowstorms the last week of Feb. We had two 4-7” storms the last week of February in 2005. 

that's 16 years ago.  things have changed.  sure you could get the anomaly and up by you it certainly is more favorable.  but inside the beltway, we struggle to hit freezing at night in the heart of winter.  my mid/late feb, the flowers are blooming (hell flowers around here basically never died).

in two weeks, the avg high at DCA hits 50F.  Have a nice evening everyone!

nothing but green grass here downtown (where we have grass lol) - but we drove up to the cathedral and there was a nice dusting up there.  elevation matters, even in the middle of the city.

overnight low of 35 right downtown - another night where we can't even get near freezing in the heart of winter.  at some point we should start planting some palm trees (some apt buildings around here have actually done that).

43/28 downtown.  full overcast now.

13 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Should have headed to Deep Creek today instead of tomorrow afternoon.  Upgraded to a warning for 4-8”.  Currently light snow there on my Ring cameras.

Currently 42 here in Arlington.

you are doing it right man - live in the city but have a place way out in the mountains where you can rack up accumulations.

Just now, vastateofmind said:

I THINK it came from when DT was putting the jack zone from Richmond through Short Pump to CHO yesterday or the day before...

ok i was thinking maybe it was a DT thing too.

is the Short Pump joke just because a random unincorporated part of Henrico County just shows up on some of the maps or is there something else?

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

The coastal didn't amp up enough imo.  Yea we got some nice banding of precip riding north up the inverted trough with the NS wave in the lakes...and that is typical with a juiced up SS wave and the gulf open for business.  But the coastal took its good old time getting its act together and didnt really amplify so the banding was hit or miss and there was no surface NE flow.  That combo killed the 95 corridor.  

that is the needle we thread here along 95.  at least we got some flakes!

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Just off the top of my head Feb 22 1987 DCA had a high of 48 and that night into the following morning recorded 10.3” of snow. There was no cold front just a coastal storm. 

the issue with this storm was we were still in the mid 40s basically as the precip was arriving overnight.

3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

This should probably go in banter....but does anyone know if there are weenies in Europe?  I wonder if there is an EU equivalent of this site.  I wonder which country has the biggest snow weenies.  So many questions.  Is Russia their equivalent of New England?  

there used to be a few folks on here from Italy that would post insane snow pics from there - not sure if they are still here.

29 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

If you are ever headed down to UVA, hit me up. I'd be happy to show you around. If you are trying to escape to somewhere snowier... that might be a good idea too.

I'll vouch for UVA!!  Although it has been quite a bit since I was there, both my younger sisters also went (youngest graduated in 2014).

phin i thought you were leaving...?

2020 was such a long year, that feels like a million years ago.

39 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

LOL okie dokie post for sure. 

Back to New England I go. 

don't let the door hit you on the way out champ!

embrace the coming spring.

heavy snow downtown - but basically not sticking to anything: 34/33

you get an initial drop around sunset of a few degrees and then it just holds steady - i remember plenty of mornings in NYC where we'd be around 30 and literally 20-30 miles west in NJ it would be near 0.