Maybe we should have separate central PA threads. Make a warm weather one for people rooting for 70s in January then I’ll know to stay far away from it.
My opinion on that may not be well received here. Things are not as they have been in the past. The oceans are vastly altered in temperature and currents. These new variables make the long range more unpredictable. Models are struggling with it.
My non expert opinion on the models is that it is related to climate change. They are struggling to be accurate because things are constantly changing and creating more variables than in the past.