dseagull

6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Where would y'all be without us North Jerseyans spending all our dough there every summer:) ( Don't answer that ). Seriously, when the fishing was good back in the day, Barnegat Bay, while never the fish factory that Delaware and Raritan were, had some of the finest fishing anywhere in the country. And it was largely sheltered from the worst winds. Used to catch winter flounder near the nuclear plant.....bluefish, weakfish, blowfish, even porgies at one time. 

It's my backyard to this day and run charters part-time 8 months of the year.  I've come to enjoy our micro-climate.  Let's see how this storm comes together.  You guys are due for a good one up there.  

Just now, weatherpruf said:

It may as well be another state, culturally......

Thank god for that.  Majority of the state has watches. 

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

only if you are now in Ocean County - not Union

Ah, so Ocean County isn't NJ... darn need to change my mailing address.  

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

no no no - no watches here in NJ - so no big deal

Watches have been hoisted. 

2 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

06z EPS 

Between hours 54 and 60 you can see the capture and brief stall I guess.  Looks like some major snowfall with many members for points east. 

31 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Those big amounts were garbage because there is no blocking for those amounts.

Skewed from members that bought into the idea of capture and stall.  I'm not sure blocking was the variable causing those outputs, because it was never input into the solutions. 

38.9 at 0430 while walking my dog along barnegat bay.  Up to 42.6 now.  Still dry, but rain approaching.   I was hoping it would wash the brine off the roads, but they just sent out hundreds of brine trucks spraying the roads before the rain even starts.  (Use it or lose it philosophy) 

8 minutes ago, A Moonlit Sky said:

Cold, baseball, winter, snow, beach, warm.

Snow, warm, baseball, winter, cold, beach....

Now I feel like I need a shrink... or just an 18-24 inch bomb 

2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

12z NAM has this in its last frame (just coming into range).

That's a comfortable depiction, despite it being the NAM.  The Highs mean business. 

26 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

meanwhile the sun is out here lol just north of there

 

We had some good activity in south central ocean county before the streamer migrated north.  Perfect mood flakes for my day off. 

2 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

Decent Squall at the beach now here in point pleasant

https://www.surfchex.com/cams/manasquan-web-cam/

Very light dusting from a quick but impressive snow shower on barnegat bay. 

18 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Ensembles looks good. Would you rather be in VA Beach or DC as of right now? 

Somewhere between Cape May, NJ and Tom's River, NJ.  Lol

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Someone said the Europeans were struggling getting data because there was a shortage of weather balloons due to Covid. Can anyone confirm?

Makes sense to me. I went to lowes yesterday to buy weather balloons and they said supply issue are killing them

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z GEFS still world’s apart from EPS, but a few good hits,

18,28,and 24 are QPF bombs.  Must be slow moving.  

Wowww.... all IN

Just now, nycsnow said:

You guys might if had a waterspout come ashore

I'd believe it, definitely some very high gusts that mixed down regardless. All the local fire sirens are blasting, neighbor is volunteer fire chief and he just sped out of the house. That was as loud as a freight train.   Glad I got to witness something impressive from this storm. 

Several trees down on my street in waretown, on barnegat bay.  My anemometer is out for repair but some unofficial reports have some gusts over 75mph.   Power has been flashing on and off.   What in incredible and long duration wind gust.  In a lull now but may get more gusts as the next line moves through.  Feels more tropical in nature.  Haha.  

Going to be lots of cleanup from this. 

5 minutes ago, coastal front said:

Lived out in ocean City New Jersey for that storm. Incredible getting 16 inches of cold powder considering how quick of a mover it was. Still to this day it had the strongest winds I’ve ever experienced in a snowstorm. 

Was an experience.  I had 4-6 foot drifts along the entire bay where I live.  Very difficult storm to gauge an accurate snow total. I gave up on my 3 boards as soon as we had sustained 35 knot wind.   Sorry for the hijack and glasses raised to another system like that. 

That was that storm I believe 4 hours from completion. 

1 minute ago, Yeoman said:

Is the Stugots still docked there?

Way back in 2011 or 2012, or 2013 they were.  I should know, but haven't had them pop up on my ais system for quite a few years.  (Time flies) I may have cancelled them on my vessel's ais recieving signals to avoid clutter though.   Sorry, I'll take a look.  

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

There are degrees of everything. That offshore tracking 'bomb cyclone' in 2018 was an all out blizzard on the immediate coast, but still produced a moderate 6" storm at my house. Obviously I chose to drive an hour to experience the blizzard.

One of my favorite storms on barnegat bay.  Had 3" an hour on the bay for 2 hours under deform band... 18.9 inches storm total. 8.5 miles inland at my deer stand had 8.1 inches. We had verified gusts to 71mph at several nearby stations.  I lost mine to my patio furniture. 

1330 Barnegat, NJ.  36.8/24

Snuck in a 3 hour trail hike with the dog.  I did 4.81 miles on the trail and his GPS collar clocked 26.31 miles.  (Amazing how much ground they cover no matter the conditions) We started before daybreak at 0640 when it was 14.2/4.  

These cutters are frustrating on many levels.  I still have my fingers crossed for this weekend's storm.  Subtle hunts that this will be an interesting system to follow.  I'd much rather have a classic Miller B to follow. 

I believe the winds on this current storm are far overdone, as the transfer is not a classic signature for my region around LBI.  (I do love me a banana  high setup for next weekend though. )  

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

What a torture fest for snow lovers already. Miss to the south, miss to the east, inland runner tomorrow all despite a seemingly favorable pattern. 

At least we got a snow event in I guess.

Another miss would be brutal.   We are clocking a fairly sustained period of cold, despite some hiccups.   Temps will not be an issue with next weekend, that's looking obvious. 

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

so this post 1/20 idea actually has some legs

 

Looks like it does.  Lots of incredibly cold solutions for the time frame.   Hope we arent devastated twice in one week.