canderson

Nothing out yet from CTP but HBG fire officials are concerned about the Susky hitting 22' or so and not the 18' currently forecast. For those unfamiliar, that difference makes a massive difference in the problems it causes. At 18' it's fairly minor basement flooding and City Island parking lot flooding. At 21.5' it breaches the banks in Shipoke and near the Governor's Mansion.

New warning just terrified my office as all phones went off at once. lash Flood Warning PAC041-043-071-133-241745- /O.NEW.KCTP.FF.W.0023.180724T1454Z-180724T1745Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service State College PA 1054 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2018 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... West central Lancaster County in south central Pennsylvania... York County in south central Pennsylvania... Southern Dauphin County in south central Pennsylvania... Northeastern Cumberland County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 145 PM EDT.. * At 1045 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated an area of heavy rain moving into the warned area. Up to eight inches of rain has already fallen in this region over the past few days, with flooding ongoing in many locations. An additional 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is likely by early afternoon. This will increase the severity of the flooding. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Harrisburg, York, Lower Allen, Hanover, Hershey, Colonial Park, Weigelstown, Elizabethtown, Progress, Mechanicsburg, Middletown, Camp Hill, Palmyra, New Cumberland, Parkville, Red Lion, Linglestown, Enola, Steelton and Spry. The Codorus Creek is already above flood stage, and this will exacerbate flooding problems along the creek. Additional rapid rises on the Conowingo and Little Conowingo Creek are also expected.

I'm now beginning to worry a bit about the river, though the lack of heavy rain in the northern mountains probably saves us.

That’s terrible - was hoping just a kitchen issue.

How bad is it?

1.5” from 12-1 am apparently. No clue otherwise. Its really bad around here.

The Susquehanna is not going to come anywhere near 2011 numbers. 2011 featured Irene then Lee - something like 18” rain in a week.

This is up there with the hardest rain I’ve seen since moving here. My 5” rain gauge is gone, guess it filled and fell over.

Annnd incoming

Rough night here x flooded out city roads, Dockside Willies on fire, and a woman in Lancaster County swept away in flood waters apparently.

On cue, it’s f’n pooooouring rain.

Flash flood warning for southern tier: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service State College PA 1004 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2018 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... West central Lancaster County in south central Pennsylvania... Adams County in south central Pennsylvania... Southwestern Northumberland County in central Pennsylvania... York County in south central Pennsylvania... Dauphin County in south central Pennsylvania... Northeastern Juniata County in central Pennsylvania... Perry County in south central Pennsylvania... Eastern Cumberland County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 300 AM EDT.. * At 1003 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain approaching the warned area. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly. * Some locations that may experience flooding include... Harrisburg, York, Carlisle, Lower Allen, Hanover, Hershey, Colonial Park, Weigelstown, Elizabethtown, Progress, Mechanicsburg, Middletown, Camp Hill, Gettysburg, Palmyra, New Cumberland, Parkville, Red Lion, Linglestown and Enola. Additional rainfall amounts of up to three inches are possible in the warned area. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

It has to be thermal dynamics.

Haven’t seen any reports from Etown or Lititz or Ephrata but that cell has been training them for hours now. The HBG City has been fortunate all things consisted, good news for the river.

That storm that just hit HBG has serious crazy rain. We had water halfway up our RAV4 tires on the camp hill bypass. It is hauling north though. Very fast mover.

WPC says everyone in this forum is in a bullseye today/tonight.

Coming to say the same thing - it's downright hot today. All the storms seem to be quite a bit north of MDT - bad news for Schuylkill County though.

ABC27 just said this storm system is nearly identical to the Tropical Storm Lee 2011 week that led to the Susquahanna cresting at 30' and flooding a major part of the city. So be prepared for a major flood. That seems a bit premature, no?

Knoebels too.

Sounds like Schuylkill County has had a ton of water rescues this morning.

Big swing and a miss forecast today. Flash flood watch for .3”.

Been in. A flash flood watch since noon. Got a sunburn workkkg out in the yard. Weird stuff.

I missed that slug overnight. Had about 2.15” yesterday - not near as much as I expected. That west joh was legit.

Everything has shifted West. We’ll now get probably 2.5” or so total.

Check out the radar - it is just like that 2016 winter storm. Cutoff in Steelton basically,