I certainly favor your area, Over to Northern NH and Northern and Western Maine for this next one, Can't rule out some ice in CNE though right now but further south and east from their, Needs more work for anything wintry.
The euro handled yesterdays rather poorly especially at day 5, I'm skeptical of any Op model right now so i'm looking more at the ensembles as we should be anyways this far out and will try to figure where its going with the spread.
Not sure, Just going but what they have here is says valid 12z today just going by their qpf map would lend to believe that that would be a more eastern track.
I'm in that majority, Flakes in the air were a nice start though, There's good reason that climo avgs in Nov are low for snow, Very early in the transition to winter.