Those low positions on that first chart is whats going to be the difference for here from a cold rain to a thump of snow depending where it actually tracks relative to the coast.
I for one am not surprised that this pattern is showing up, I think some of us mentioned it back when folks were moving in Feb to spring mode that be careful what you wish for.
There has been a few this winter same scenario missing by just about 5-10 miles or so, That whole foothill zone of Buckfield/Sumner-RUM up to the ski areas are going to get pummeled.
I'm in that 0-10" range as stated earlier, I missed many this season by less then 20 miles, And probably will continue the seasonal trend on this one too.