Most of the model ensemble members have been to the east, So i'm not shocked some of these op runs are there too, But were still a few days out before we see where this will eventually track.
Lot of moving parts, No phase, Partial phase has been the theme so far, Just a much better time to track then HHH, But i know you like the convective side of weather.
Its not totally closed and elongated some east so that would affect it at the surface, Convection always plays a roll as well as latent heat release out ahead on the final track, But were still a few cycles away from the outcome obviously.