dryslot

Quite the pack op there so this will get easily absorbed once it does changeover as they're already at a net gain.

Still snowing in Jackman, Cold air hanging in there in the NW part of the state.

When we you genuflect to the papal?

Go go go!

Coke kilos?

Is there an obs thread? Yes, No?

The hope although as slim as it usually is some anafront snow once the front moves thru if there is still qpf left, Temps will fall on there face post fropa.

No fries either.

Jeezus .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 12pm Update...Quick update to hazards. Transitioned remaining High Wind Watch to a Wind Advisory for central and southern NH, as well as to a High Wind Warning for southern Somerset Co. Increased peak gusts for portions of the Warning on the NW side of the Whites, as well as right along the coast. Gusts to 70 mph will be possible during a brief window as some MUCAPE accompanies the jet translation through the CWA. More details later.

I'm sure the folks in Camp Ellis are really looking forward to there next 2 high tide cycles.

CT loses power if a chipmunk farts.

fyp

Long duration sustained and wind gust is just going to be a huge problem even in restoration power efforts, Its the old phrase of shoveling shit against the tide. Tonight A chance of snow and freezing rain before 11pm, then rain and snow likely between 11pm and 1am, then rain after 1am. Temperature rising to around 38 by 5am. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 50. Windy, with an east wind 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Friday Night Rain likely before 10pm, then a chance of snow showers between 10pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 23. Southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Higher elevations should minimize their losses

We're prepared URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gray ME 327 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 MEZ007>009-018>028-NHZ001>003-010-013-014-222030- /O.UPG.KGYX.HW.A.0004.221223T1200Z-221224T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.HW.W.0004.221223T0600Z-221224T0700Z/ Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Interior York- Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo- Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Strafford- Interior Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham- Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron, Middle Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley, Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond, Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford, Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray, North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor, Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox, Liberty, Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford, Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath, Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna, Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor, Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope, Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville, Errol, Millsfield, Colebrook, Berlin, Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton, Sugar Hill, Thornton, Waterville Valley, Woodstock, Barrington, Rochester, Dover, Rollinsford, Somersworth, Durham, Madbury, Salem, Atkinson, Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter, Greenland, Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook 327 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 2 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and western Maine. Portions of central, northern, and southern New Hampshire. * WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 2 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. Also secure outdoor holiday decorations. && $$

Substitute a few words in the sub thread title, Non' easter, Flizzard and Miller lite.

Same here, Backside snows never work generally speaking, And if we would not get any in this set up, We never will.

Should be a wild few hours fer sher. .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/... Clouds gradually increase Thursday with models in relatively good agreement beginning cyclogenesis near the Great Lakes area during this period. The latest model suite does hint at the development of a secondary area of low pressure near the Mid Atlantic region by late Thursday. This may allow for the cold air to hold on across northern areas for a few more hours. Expect some snow to develop most areas expected southeast NH and the Coastal Plain. This will quickly go to rain except for the mountains and foothills where 3-6 inches are possible overnight Thursday night. Southeast winds increase as the night progresses with advisory level winds possible late at night southeasternmost zones/coast and western slopes of the White Mountains. Winds continue to increase as Friday progresses as rain becomes heavy at times. Snow gradually goes over to rain in the mountains except perhaps near the Canadian Border where we will have to watch for higher snow amounts in the warm air gets beaten back. Damaging winds are expected at times on the coastal plain and the western slopes of the Whites. In between we are less certain in wind speeds as inversions tend to be deeper up against east slopes of the mountains and in the Merrimack Valley. The high wind watch remains up for all zones for the time being. Residents are urged to prepare in case power is lost. Front sweeps across the region by 00z Sat and will mark the end of heavy rains and the worst winds. However, there may be a 1 or 2 hour period immediately in the wake of the front where strong pressure rise/fall couplet aids in potentially brief period of damaging winds. Otherwise, temperatures fall rapidly in the wake of the front with rain changing to snow for an hour or two before ending. Temperatures will drop very fast behind the front with readings going from the 40s and 50s to the teens and 20s in a matter of 2-3 hours. That`s very impressive for these parts. You normally see that in the Plains. Therefore, with any road treatments washed off the roads, a flash freeze will be possible.

I've got a man on this, He told me he would continue to keep an eye on it for us.

But it is, Just like Carlos Correa is from the Giants.

The hefty qpf totals that models were projecting over a broad area also are starting to drop off some so that's a plus as well.

Before she came.

The wind potential with these higher sustained winds then you add in the gust potential will be devastating, CMP has elected to keep all the crews that have been here from out of state here throughout

The AFD from GYX is a good statement to its potential, .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... The forecast for a high impact storm system starting Thursday night and lasting through Friday night has changed little since the previous forecast package. On Thursday night stacked low pressure within a sharply negative 500 mb trough axis will approach from the Great Lakes region with a surface warm front lifting northward. This will result in overrunning precipitation breaking out over the CWA from southwest to northeast through the overnight hours. Boundary layer and surface temperatures across southern NH and coastal ME should be warm enough for this to just fall as plain rain but across the foothills and points north temperatures are expected to be cold enough for a period of mixed wintry precipitation. Later Thursday night temperatures aloft will continue to warm but ground temperatures will likely remain near the freezing mark and therefore locally slippery travel will be possible until temperatures warm to above freezing areawide by Friday morning. A Winter Weather Advisory may eventually be needed should confidence for slippery travel increase as we near this event. We will then sit in the warm sector for much of Friday with temperatures warming into the middle 40s across the north to the middle 50s in southern NH and coastal ME. Increasing mixing of a southeasterly 75-100 kt 850 mb LLJ and 50-75 kt 925 mb jet will result in increasing wind gusts up to 40-55 mph from late morning onward, especially across the coastal plain, higher terrain, and downslope of the White Mountains. Across the foothills, a lingering inversion may limit wind gusts until later Friday afternoon, with gusts mostly in the 40-50 mph range. Given the potential high impact of winds of this magnitude and direction as well as the recent power outages from our last event, went ahead and hoisted a High Wind Watch for much of the region in order to provide more lead time to power crews. Rainfall will also increase through the day with ensemble means pointing towards PWATs increasing to around 1.00" amongst strong theta-e advection and dew points climbing well into the 40s. There is the potential for rainfall rates up to around 1"/hr and should this occur instances of flash flooding remain possible, especially where snow cover remains and the ground is frozen. A Flood Watch was not issued with this forecast package given the threat for river flooding will mostly be limited to Saturday but a watch may be needed in the near future. A potent cold front will then sweep across the forecast area from west to east on Friday afternoon and evening, bringing sharply colder temperatures and the potential for a period of damaging wind gusts. The region of greatest concern is across the coastal plain of ME, Seacoast of NH, and across the higher terrain where gusts up to 65 mph are possible. There is some potential for locally higher gusts across the Mid-Coast as this front crosses. This front may be accompanied by a fine line/squall line, which would increase the likelihood for wind damage. Once the front crosses the threat for heavy rainfall and damaging winds will diminish, although it will remain breezy through Friday night with gusts up to 40 mph. Temperatures will rapidly fall behind the front, allowing any remaining precipitation to transition to snow before ending and setting the stage for a potential flash freeze. This could result in rapidly deteriorating travel conditions on Friday evening through the overnight hours, especially since no salt will be left on area roadways after the heavy rainfall. Sub-freezing temperatures will then return behind this system through early next week along with gusty winds, sending wind chill values down into the single digits either side of zero. This will unfortunately exasperate the impacts from remaining power outages.

I'm afraid its going to be unfortunately.