dryslot

Snow/Sleet/Ice on the 12z HRRR.

Probably making sure there is enough propane for the generator wouldn't hurt either.

Just now, dendrite said:

Keep it coming

Doesn't need a lot.

Still under a watch here with the amount of uncertainty with this one, Glad i'm not having to make a forecast for this.

3 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Yeah I would have expected to get bumped up some down here but they held steady with their forecast overnight.

Just looking at the 06z euro, Its a tic or two SE so still changes coming up it seems.

Just read GYX's AFD, Lot of uncertainty remains but they are going with the global models ATT thinking they can handle this unique situation better.

Going to get Ugly.

0z Nam slays western areas verbatim.

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I looked at the past 10 years the other day, 
2014-15… 290”
2015-16… 156”
2016-17… 375”
2017-18… 264”
2018-19… 308” (*Under-reporter due to snow reporting changes and misses.)
2019-20… COVID early closure, data incomplete.
2020-21… 218”
2021-22… 225”
2022-23… 221”
2023-24… 246” as of 3/21.

You made up a lot of ground here in March it seems this year.

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

We went 12 days without a full inch at the plot in mid-winter.  That is incredibly hard to do. Now every measurement is multiple inches.

Climo wise, Where are you right now relative to avg?

0z Nam is another couple tics SE and colder then the 18z run.

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

There was a blizzard warning in N Maine earlier today?

Winds were nuts today with blowing and drifting even down to here, That low was over PQI this afternoon.

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ha all joking aside, of course less phasing is probably the way to go which would push it all ESE a bit.  It makes sense synoptically.  Typical Euro and NAM bias of over-amped at this lead.

Typically I would say yes on the Euro/Nam, But the Euro has been bullish right to the coast for several runs, 18z Nam made a move towards it, 18z GFS made a tic or two move SE, 18z Euro has been the same the last 4-6 cycles other then some subtle nuances, I’m waiting on your HRRR now 

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Stop trying to steal my snow .

Your good over there, 20 miles either way here changes the landscape lol.

Here comes the messenger tics SE with the front, 18z GFS and the 18z Euro.

Whoof.

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

We're a unique site. Our inflation building was heated, but not to the safety standards you need when generating hydrogen. You probably could see the mushroom cloud from KLEW.

In my younger years i saw all kinds of things using mushrooms, Very clouded.

1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

We don't? News to me. 

We ran out of helium a couple of weeks ago, but we launching again now. Pretty soon we'll be able to turn the hydrogen generator back on too.

Are you going to be moving to the next gen dilithium crystals soon? 

12z Euro looks like it held serve from the 06z run.

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Crazy UNC gets you good

We will see what the Euro has in about 7 minutes or so.

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

He's been deployed since 2022.

He lives in Weymouth so yeah.

2 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

I've seen plenty of setups like this where Naples is more or less out and I am in. Tip makes a good point about the antecedent airmass. Ironically it's one of the better ones we've had all season. 

Quite honestly, I think your in a good spot for this.

Coast and the Coastal plain is the wildcard up here, Back beyond that, Its a lock for mainly all snow.

24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6z Euro Ens total snow

Quite solid actually if its correct, A lot of those looks like the 12z RGEM.