dryslot

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

 

The band over Central New York that Brian highlighted last evening translated here and then translated over to you. And you still have a good bit to go. Nice!

Its sinking SE so I’m not going to be in it much longer though.

Expected 4” and we are at 6”, We busted positive, Looks like we got into some good banding and still great snow growth.

Just now, Spanks45 said:

SWCT

Where is the warm layer? I don't see one H92 and H85 looks good down there from what i can see.

2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Yeah besides that warm layer down here, the Nam looks great...

Where?

0z Nam slays

30 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

I like hr 239 better 

GYX taking them up a bit.

Nam always has a happy hour run, This is it.

17 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

what is an Archembault Event? (still learning the forum lingo)

Simple, HECS

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

uh oh

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Up here?

After the way this winter has gone so far, Not going to sweat these next few events, They look to remain mainly frozen of sorts.

I like the next 15 days for NNE.

We will take any ticks as long as they are going to the north, Its a slow crawl to gaining qpf up here.

3 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

You'll be able to ride great locally come next weekend, and without the crowds of "up north".

The problem with riding local is in order to go 80 miles you have to cross 5 snowmobile clubs trail system, And some of these are not active so the trails would be garbage for starters, Missing bridges and probably encounter many down trees from the last 2 years big dec wind and rainers, The other thing now is the crowds should be much thinner with more area to ride instead of just a concentration of 1 or 2 regions.

Nobody cares about the fukin Canadien.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes sir..so let’s enjoy it, and see what we come out with. 

I'm heading back up north next weekend

Looks like an epic stretch of winter weather inbound for many.

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Thursday is 6 days out so it should be be threaded lol!  
even if Sunday ends up messy, it would probably have a good front end. Then a solid 20” pack for whatever comes next.

I would prefer something with a little meat to it, These fluff storms are tough for building a base to ride on until it sets up.

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Probably not for us.  But for SNE!?  But thurs-Sunday look potentially very big.  Is it 2 systems?  Which one has bigger potential? To me there could be a thread for that period

Been modeled well, Thursday is our shot for an all snow event, Sunday could be messy but that is still a long way out

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro hasn’t let go of Tuesday yet down here at least, so I think that’s still viable. 

Splitting hairs but it looked like 0z weds

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I kind of feel like this storm will come back to what we were looking at three or four days ago. What I mean by that is maybe another tick north but not too much further. And something that’s more like 4 to 12 inches broadly across the region. Most will be 6 to 10. I don’t know if the ratios and Snow growth look as good as they did a few days ago, but that was a bit of a wild card in our favor at least initially.
 

it’s hard to grapple with the other systems in the pipeline because we have so many. Most of the energy now is on Sunday, but we really should have a thread for Tuesday and one for Thursday Friday and then one for the weekend. All of those are potentially very impactful.

 

Nothing on tuesday.

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

What did it have up there?

6z it was 0.25" qpf, I just went back and looked at 12z, I did not look at that run but it bumped it up to 0.41" so that was more inline with what fell, So it looks like it did ok as we got closer in.

Just now, dendrite said:

It’s not a whiff. NH is just stealing the forcing this run. 

Did well up here I thought. I don’t even look at 12k anymore unless I want to see midlevel temps. But I’m not putting much stock in this solution. 

It was not good here with qpf output.

33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Nice banding sig up here on the hrrr. 

Didn't perform very well with yesterdays.

Snow squall warning here, That was intense.

4.5” looks like it’s winding down, Fits my 3-5” call, Going to go clean it up here shortly.