kdxken

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 

No thanks. Don't feel like rolling out the snowblower.

11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This morning’s temps busted high here.   Still 40F. 
 

2 hour delay ftl

43° here. Doesn't look much like icing.

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Kinda sucking down an IPA too quickly so looking for something to do. Anyways, this is just a thinking out loud post. And I guess I should add a declaimer...obviously there's a ton more to take into account and blah blah but the similarities are striking. 

I was looking at the current sea-surface temperature anomaly configuration and looking (I know there are program and such which run algorithms and what not) for similar matches to previous La Nina episodes:

Now there are several "matches" (1909-1910, 1949-1950, 1970-1971, 1973-1974, 1988-1989) but when assessing ensemble guidance regarding the evolution of the H5 pattern moving forward, one match that stuck out was 1909-1910:

SSTA's January 1910

GEFS 8-12 day mean H5

H5 anomalies January 1910

Now I don't know what snowfall was like that month or storminess (FWIW, it was a subpar season)

 

 

Could you post some charts with it?

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looking like ORH south is F’d on Friday . 

What happened to your train?

1 minute ago, alex said:

I definitely have never seen anything like this in my 7 or so years up here. Sure, we’ve had storms wipe out the snowpack but they were generally followed by at least some upslope within a few days. This year just feels like a never ending fall - except for the decent stretch we had in December. I have to admit, I’m not hating it nearly as much as I thought I would. I’ve probably seen over 1000” of snow since moving here, it’s ok if we take a break and I’ve actually enjoyed the skiing more than I often do this time of the year when it’s in the single digits all day - my least favorite part of New England skiing. Give me a few groomers and temps in the upper 30s and I can have a great day out there. Monday was one of those days. But it’ll be nice to have a normal winter again some day. It’s been a while!

Glass half full guy. I can respect that...

16 minutes ago, George001 said:

I disagree that the warmth returns. The MJO is going into phases 8-1-2, and the long range models don’t seem to be catching on. In my opinion the long range will trend significantly colder due to this.

Who are you going to believe? George or some stupid met who lives in North Carolina?

1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

It’s comical right now that we will be under 5” for many places come mid month.

In 2007 Boston didn't get its first inch until Valentine's Day.

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Trusting those models vs METs?

How long ago was it that the models were spitting out 50s and '60s for this week? Big time fail.

Just now, weathafella said:

Absolute zero or bust!

What year was it where you were praying that we didn't get any more snow? It was a ratter and we could have set the record. 

2015 is not walking through that door, fans.  2005 is not walking through that door, and 1993 is not walking through that door. And if you expect them to walk through that door, it's going to rain...

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

 

I don’t know Ken…hard to call a season toast 12 days into the season. That’s the equivalent of saying the late next week system is a blizzard.  Both are Rather irresponsible.
 

Should we say the Bills are toast cuz they were down 7-3 after the first quarter last night? We are only half way through this first quarter of winter.  Hard to say anything is toast at this stage. 

Sure we can still get snow and maybe even some good storms. I mean toast as overall winter season.

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Not picking on you but once I start seeing phrases such as, snapback, thread the needle, lot of cold to the north... I figure the Year's pretty much toast.

Add this :

18z ICON would extrapolate ...

18 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

The one thing that I do feel is with all this major above normal temperature across North America as a whole, it has to have a rubber band effect. Maybe we'll see the snapback as we head into February. Or, we'll just get one of those huge storm events bringing us a major winter storm. I just have a real feeling about it this year. Only time will tell 

 

Not picking on you but once I start seeing phrases such as, snapback, thread the needle, lot of cold to the north... I figure the Year's pretty much toast.

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Cut wood on your own land?  Eventually you’ll cut all the trees no? Do you replant? Just curious. 

Yes my own land. Don't have enough years left to cut them all down.  Although I'll give it my best. Going to build a solar farm so not much sense in replanting.

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

So what do you do for a living…cut wood? And sell it? 

Yep

https://youtube.com/shorts/8cTU0BlbaVQ?feature=share

I just want it to stop effing raining. Love working in the woods everyday but frankly today was a struggle.

https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1610412818238414850?s=19

Just now, dryslot said:

He's in critical condition and i'm hearing he's being intubated.

Yeah that's what my daughter told me. She's an athletic trainer and doesn't have high hopes

Just now, dryslot said:

Its been suspended to be played at a later date TBD.

Wow

27 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Exactly.

we can do it “off site” 

have a text group , someone knowledgeable set the lines , we would use official stations , would liven things up in boring periods and even on storm totals 

Dendrite is good with numbers and Will can do the historical averages to set the lines. Problem lies in who will be the bank?

I've been to a few of get togethers and truthfully most everyone seemed sketchy. Jerry struck me as the most trustworthy but he is getting up there in years. Not sure we want to go through probate court to get our winnings.

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Can we get some over/ under action on the daily highs / lows and also on any storm  snowfall Totals for various locations when that blesses us with its appearance . You know what I’m saying . 

Turn  this into even more of a degenerate hangout and make some money for the site in the process 

I've always thought that would be a great idea. With Venmo we can do it. I'm in.

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

We've seen how the "ifs" have been working out thus far this winter.

Don't go there...

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gefs and eps have it.

If it's going to suck, let's have it suck hard. Get some real warmth in here and open up some more courses. With the short days it's a b**** finding a tee time.

3 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

Make me a mod. There will be order in the forums. 

The snow Nazi. No models for you!

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Haven't really checked the ensembles, but the OPs all appear to have an ocean storm around day 9. That could be our next candidate to track for 24-48 hours in the day 6-8 range before it eventually turns to shit 

Careful now...That could be considered a whine. You don't want to go to time out do you?