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kdxken

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Everything posted by kdxken

  1. "Looking at Tuesday through the end of the week there remains a good deal of uncertainty with the mid-level pattern. Model guidance is not handling the evolution of the departing weekend system. As the cut-off low becomes more of an open trough in eastern Canada, isn`t able to easily move eastward because of the mid-level ridge across the North Atlantic. To the west of southern New England an amplifying mid-level ridge spills northeastward. Does it shift the trough out to sea or does it pinch off the trough into another closed low. If we can shift it out to sea likely a rather nice forecast with dry weather and warming temperatures. The other scenario, it becomes a closed low/cut-off and is stuck east of New England and may result in cooler temperatures and spotty shower activity. As there is a good deal of uncertainty, leaned heavily on the NBM. Which is leaning toward the first outcome, dry conditions and summer warmth. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and nighttime lows in the 50s." You've got to ask yourself one question: 'Do I feel lucky?' Well, do ya, punk?"
  2. Golf courses must not be off to a great year with all the rainy weekends. 2 months, at least down here pretty much down the tubes. A lot of momentum is built early.
  3. I've only played owl's nest.
  4. I think I usually install last week of June.
  5. 62° and overcast. I'd pay good money for these in another month.
  6. Not sure if it's as accurate as Jerry's squirrels but the animals are shedding their coats pretty quick.
  7. Don't think they'll be many complaints from folks.
  8. The NAM 12km/GFS favor a track along and to the west of the Connecticut River, UKMET/ECMWF favor a track along the 95 corridor between Providence and Boston, while the GEM favors a track over Nantucket. If this were winter, we`d be stressed over a rain/snow line. While we don`t have that issue, the focus is where the greatest QPF falls, usually northwest of the low. Given the GEM is an outlier, have some confidence the greatest QPF will fall across western southern New England
  9. Still kind of warm on the 9th and 10th but otherwise Meh.
  10. I wouldn't count on it. He must have gone to the Wolfie school of meteorology.
  11. By Southeast do you mean from you to the cape? Please include me. Thanks in advance.
  12. "Finally, the warmth returns. Logan Airport cracked the 70s for the first time in over a week as high pressure kept the clouds and sea breeze at bay. It’s been a wild May with the first half of the month shooting 2 to 6 degrees above average across New England, followed by a week-plus of winter-like temperatures running as low as 10 degrees below average. Boston’s average temperature for the month is still slightly warmer than normal —around three-quarters of a degree — but the daily highs have been just about average. This means we’re still seeing most of the above-average temperatures at night. Take a look below at where our daily highs stood through Memorial Day."
  13. Right? Half the board was screaming about it. They were likely using the GFS too. When will they learn? We tried to tell 'em... Are they going to wake up surprised!
  14. Oh my god you're right! Your May forecast of hot and dry (top five may in history for rainfall) was slightly off but no reason not to trust you. Torch incoming! Temps in this period should run near to slightly above normal for this time of year, but should be milder on the low temperatures and around seasonable highs highs in the 70s. Compared to the last few days, it will feel a touch more humid but still pretty tolerable. Sunday into Early Next Week: Upper-level longwave trough still maintains itself over the Northeast in this period, although Canadian sfc high pressure will be building in allowing for a period of cooler and drier weather to close the weekend and continue into early next week. "milder on the low temperatures and around seasonable highs" Story of our new climate.
  15. Nice write up on the tree diseases. https://www.timesunion.com/hudsonvalley/outdoors/article/invasive-species-ash-chestnut-hemlock-elm-beech-20324636.php
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