osfan24
-
Posts
3,862 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by osfan24
-
NAM seems to like Thursday a lot more than Wednesday for us.
-
Latest NAM skips right over us.
-
Swing a miss for the area today. Nice line from about extreme northern MD into PA.
-
HRRR is basically a whiff here. Looks like the best shot is west of Philly.
-
Looks ok in Southern PA. Harrisburg might be a bit too far north verbatim, but you are close enough that you could see action.
-
Latest 3K is a lot less impressive than the 6z was.
-
Makes sense. Not seeing any severe risk, and chance of just thunderstorms even seems low looking at radar, but pretty good batch of moisture headed this way.
-
Threat has shifted way far south in the past 24 hours. Gone from Central MD to south of DC.
-
3K NAM has been overdoing it lately, but looking at latest run, looks like it comes in pretty early tomorrow and is out of here in the afternoon. It moves through slowly, but not slow enough for training, and the line is pretty narrow, so its only about 4 hours of heavy rain in any one location.
-
3K NAM keeps getting worse and worse with each run. Keeps pushing those afternoon storms farther south. Latest run now has them blowing up in Southeast VA.
-
3K Nam looks active overnight. Might not be severe but has a lot of storms and heavy rain rolling in through tomorrow morning. Also has that same convection the HRRR does for Friday afternoon, but I think that's going to be a Southern MD to Eastern Shore/Virginia type deal. Almost all of us look to be too far north and west.
-
It's breezy. Kinda hilarious this warranted a slight risk and a Severe T-Storm Watch.
-
That storm is rolling. Already passed by to the north. Surprised someone said there is a lot of CG. I don't see anything on RadarScope. Thunder has also calmed down some.
-
That's the distant thunder I'm hearing here. Has definitely picked up in frequency over the past five minutes. It's going to miss me just to the north.
-
Distant thunder here I believe but can be hard to tell with air traffic sometimes.
-
A little sun poking out around here now. 3K is pretty scattered but we will see what happens.
-
Pretty cloudy out at the moment.
-
Weird. I'm pretty close to BWI and that was...….uneventful. It was breezy and rained hard for a minute or two. Had a couple rumbles.
-
Looks like this thing is donzo, especially if that final line near Winchester is just standard stuff like a poster above alluded to. Given some of the parameters we saw leading up to this storm, it looked like some of the official forecasts were way underdone. Maybe they knew something we didn't looking at those models and parameters, cause it busted in about every single way possible. Shocking there won't even be any synoptic wind.
-
So much for the forecasts wrapping this stuff up by 19z.
-
I thought the wind wasn't coming until after the storms cleared out?
-
Latest HRRR looks awful but it doesn't match current radar at all, so it's probably worthless.
-
Those hoping for severe weather won't want to look at latest HRRR or 3k NAM. Very isolated stuff.
-
Latest HRRR is pretty meh. Some scattered storms.
-
0z 3k NAM has a line of severe storms roll through in the 3-5 AM time period and then nothing but a few isolated cells after that for Central MD.
