osfan24

Wave 4 looks very interesting as well, but obviously way out there in time.

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS Day 8, Lucy is laughing hysterically.

That map is literally giving us the finger.

Nice squall line at 210, lol.

Just now, stormtracker said:

Euro is some shit for Wave 3

Yeah I think we are out on wave 2 barring a miracle at this point and probably getting close to out on wave 3. It's getting late, early.

Might have been a mix of wet flakes and rain but it wasn't heavy enough or obvious enough to say for sure. I was really surprised to get under a couple of those yellow bands on radar this morning and all I really saw was very light rain/snow/drizzle. I figured I'd get some kind of heavyish mix or a burst of snow. Odd, but fitting.

8 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

If NYC-CT got a 30+ inch storm like the ukie depicted, I wouldn’t be upset about that. I actually would be very excited because if they can get that, we can, too. We just need minor 100-200 mile adjustments in a global wave pattern that are more likely to come to fruition in a bona fide nino. 

If they got that, It would literally be the worst possible ending to this wretched season/stretch of bad winters. Although I guess it would be wishful thinking that it's the ending to our stretch of bad winters. Seems like this is never gonna flip.

10 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z EURO showed that the 0Z was a head fake…

Wait, what? Where is all the snow north of us??

Wave 2 looks close on the Euro but still needs more work. Wave 3 looks like we might need to jump over to the severe weather thread. 

17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Need the upper low to dig more for that to happen. 

Any shot at that or should I just mail it in and hope for the best with wave 3?

Realllyyy wish we could find a way to get that Monday/Tuesday deal cranking sooner. The low develops pretty far south down the coast but it just takes forever to really bomb out. Just too far north by the time it goes crazy.

Can't wait for the next anafrontal storm. It'll be my first.

9 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

euro looks solid -- did take a step back but totals around suburbs remain the same prob bc of better banding

Looks awful. That's white rain.

4 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

march 1958 storm was crazy

Would be incredible to get a repeat of that.

I'm getting concerned that the final chapter is almost finished and the book will be for sale on Amazon by the end of the month.

2 minutes ago, frd said:

YES

 

 

Looks like it is already in 8? Also, didn't someone say Phase 1 is the best for a Nina and March or am I making that up?

Same story as the whole winter: there is just no cold air. PSU is working on the final chapter.

Wake me up when we are in the pink, white, or mint.

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

it dosent make sense posting a snowmap that dosent show snow? 

Right, but if he only posted snow maps that did show snow, he would never get to post any so.......

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

why do you post these when they are bad?

Because otherwise he would never post them.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Hr 78 euro slightly improved. H5 seems slightly south. But less ridging. But more confluence to our northeast. 

It's like one step forward and one back.

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Gfs looks significantly further south out to hour 99 with the main low. 

A tad. Still not near enough, but it's a start hopefully.

The thing around the 20th can definitely still work here. It's more that we keep doing what we've done all year, which is keep pushing all the threats back out past that 7+ day window. This time seems different, or maybe I'm just an idiot and Lucy is pulling the football again. This is the first time I really believed in anything since December, but my patience is being tested for sure. Seems like within the next week or so, we will know whether we have something or we can just move on.

That primary is still way too far north. Need to see that start adjusting south.

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Well, IF things continue like this in the coming years, I think we're gonna have to learn to be okay with this. I mean seriously--for our own mental/spiritual health! I mean yes we don't know everything about the future (only what the trend has been up to this date), but if this is coming/gonna get worse...we have to learn to be okay with it--I mean we have no choice, lol.

It may not be worth getting upset about (or even giving too much thought to)...otherwise we'll be living in a dread of "terrifying" trends and such creating the illusion of some objectively bad thing coming that isn't really objectively bad.

My guess is if, say, a decade from now, snow chances are where they are now or worse...we would have gotten used to that reality (by force--because literally nothing would've happened, and things could be worse by then!). We all love snow--but maybe our reality in the future is more of this, I don't know. But it may soon be time to kinda distance ourselves y'all, lol 

I mean unless you love tracking weather just to track weather (and to each their own), if you're tracking for snow? It may not be worth it, seriously. I mean we'll see...but I've already kinda been preparing for that reality. With you-know-what being a potential cause!

Be ok with what? If this is the new base state, we will just have to shut down the forum. There won't be anything to track but once a decade or so when all of the stars align.

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.

 

The transfer is just way, way too late. It's gotta transfer down in Kentucky area, not almost to Detroit, and it has to be slight farther to the southeast when it transfers. Give me something off Myrtle or at least OBX.