Nibor
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Everything posted by Nibor
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Good luck have fun. Should be a great spot for this one.
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For north and west folks that deform band on the latest HRRR is also modeled on the RAP and FV3. No guarantee but I think that's the back edge of the big totals.
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Down to 1000
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I have fond memories of that storm. My sister who is much older than me helped build an igloo. in 2010 I was at her house down the shore when Boxing day happened and did the same with her kids.
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Snow began here in Jersey City Heights ~12:30
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Light snow. Beautiful dendrites.
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I might have anecdotal bias here but when I was living in Bergen county those winds just almost never verified for blizzard warnings. It’s rare inland. I definitely think we’ll hit the criteria here in JC.
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Another thing to watch is the surface low does head east off the coast but eventually makes a move northward kinda like a J as the mid low fully captures and stacks. At the top of the J is where we sorta see the stall or minor loop. Not sure if either will fully happen but something to watch as we nowcast. Some of the mesos show this motion a little better than the globals show.
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They walk in acting like they own the place.
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There’s going to be a western deform band. Where it is has yet to be determined but it wouldn’t surprise me if it was where the rap shows it. A few other mesos have it.
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Can I hang out in here. The randos that pop up during storms are annoying me.
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It’s a hybrid of sort but there’s always nuances with these storms.
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The birth of your kid has been a good omen. We protect.
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Won’t be in Manhattan for this unless I’m deranged enough to try and take the path in to film a bit. Might be worth it for this one. We’ll see how dangerous the conditions are.
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It’s always a disaster either way.
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Did anyone post the 3z RAP?
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The new euro run at hr 30 actually has the surface low slightly north of the GFS at the same time frame lol
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New Euro Op run looks nice.
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From twitter
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Occluding low, kinda checks out.
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For posterity
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Nam showing up sloping high snows in the Catskills. Nice.
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HRRR basically stalls south of Montauk
