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Everything posted by Nibor
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Nibor replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
You don't have to if you know where to go on the internet. -
Might be the case they haven’t implemented it into system. Newsletter from ecmwf if anyone wants to read more about it: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/163/news/ai-and-machine-learning-ecmwf https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/aifs-blog/2023/ECMWF-unveils-alpha-version-of-new-ML-model
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I believe @bluewave has commented on how they’ve integrated AI into the euro.
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I don't think there's a manufacturer that makes a sleeping bag that goes that low. I think Western Mountaineerings lowest rated bag is -40.
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At 120 hrs that’s a surprisingly wide spread for the euro.
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This is the one. The one that ends the one inch drought.
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Every now and then I learn about a model tool I never knew existed.
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That's a big difference.
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We’re not going to know anything for sure for next week until that weekend cutter comes through.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Nibor replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Has the ECMWF always gone out past 240 hrs on paid sites or is that a new thing? -
JFC the New England subforum is larger than ours and they don’t argue about micro regions. Just let it be.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Many up north are not done.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad mix line- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
A CCB is going to develop somewhere, it’s been showing up on pretty much every global or meso model. It’s just a matter of where. If the storm tracks far enough south someone could end up with some back end snow after changing over or dry-slotting. Obligatory, “nEVer ReLy oN BaCkEnD SnoWs”- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
On a coding level I’m sure it’s a pain to calculate everything to create accurate maps based on mixing lines. Weather modeling output can have different looks on different weather map services and it’s all dependent on individual coding. On cynical level it’s also easy to exclude certain aspects in coding maps that favor showing snow in an attempt to generate traffic which in turn generates money.- 3,610 replies
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Next weekend might be worth keeping an eye on.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Central Park’s weather observer reading this:- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Never underestimate orographic lift.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Nibor replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Nibor replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
As a very serious person who takes the NAM very seriously I love the chaos it brings. -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Nibor replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I like the evolution of NAM talk. Looking at it a few days ago and acknowledging its unreliability in the long range to, “WE GOT NAMd” yesterday to, “don’t even bother looking at the NAM I can’t wait for it to be retired” now that it’s in its useful range.