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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. T. August
    Obs/measurement question: should the snow board be cleared after the transition to sleet, even if it’s before the 6 hour clearing?
  2. T. August
    Even where I’m at honestly thinking minimum 6”, and whatever sleet falls. Gotta be 8”+ by the end for you. It’s dumping.
  3. T. August
    3.4” measured in Havre de Grace. That is 1.2” in 1 hour. Insane rates for an unimpressive radar up this way.
  4. T. August
    2.2” measured in Havre de Grace. Like sand falling from the sky.
  5. T. August
    Just a grisly depiction. Gotta pray it’s wrong.
  6. T. August
    Bro… DC area gets 6-7” at 10:1 then 3” of sleet. That’s legit.
  7. T. August
    Currently 16.1 after a high of 17.7. Cold enough for ice to continue to form on the inlet all day even through filtered sunlight.
  8. T. August
    16.4/-3.1° in Havre de Grace
  9. T. August
    Ready for it to snow. This was a tough week of tracking. Sucks that we couldn’t maximize what was on the table, but hopefully we come out with something that sticks around for 2 weeks. My guesses (snow/sleet): DCA: 5.2” IAD: 5.8” BWI: 5.7” mby: 6.2” (4.5” snow) I feel like the max south of the M/D line will be relatively low - something like 9”.
  10. T. August
    Low of 9.1°. Currently 10.8°
  11. T. August
    17/-7 in Havre de Grace
  12. T. August
    Honestly doesn’t really matter too much but GEFS is a slight improvement for southern areas.
  13. T. August
    I imagine that’s worse? but didn’t see 12z
  14. T. August
    3k is dry af… .4-.5 qpf before the flip even in the favored areas.
  15. T. August
    51 is wild in DC
  16. T. August
    Euro is great for DC-SE. 7-8” all the way to southern MD
  17. T. August
    Not only that, but the individual panels are eerily uniform. Almost no variation in track or strength. I wonder how useful they truly are for precipitation.
  18. T. August
    Partially storm related, but the 18z gfs and 12z euro are below freezing for most of the area until the end of the runs. Absolutely insane. Whatever falls will be here when we flip the calendar.
  19. T. August
    Kuchera is dastardly
  20. T. August
    Nam was a disaster for sure
  21. T. August
    I believe they lean on the NBM heavily especially 3 days out. I’m sure @high risk can correct me lol
  22. T. August
    Hopefully we are converging on a result that is close to reality. As it stands I feel like 6-9” is a safe and reasonable forecast for 95. Feel like 10-14” NW.
  23. T. August
    0z eps looks good to me. Really not too different. A bit more qpf.
  24. T. August
    12” in DC on the Kuchera
  25. T. August
    So close to all snow in dc. Just misses the pivot by 30 miles
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