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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. It is crazy the discrepancy in models still, Euro, RGEM and Ukie, all have the heavy snow band much further south. At what point do we begin trusting the short range models over GFS and Euro?
  2. yeah NAM did look better especially on back side.
  3. 18z HRRR looked good! Dont know if someone posted it already. Just looking at it.
  4. Wonder if there will be a back end thump on HRRR
  5. yes, it brings to heavier snows into Richmond. 8+
  6. Someone in Mid Atlantic forum said the euro heavy snow shifted south, can anyone confirm?
  7. I feel like the UK and the euro have been the same basically with the UK a little south of the euro
  8. if the UK verified, we would all have over a foot.
  9. Post 1/6 Storm, but here is hour 144 on 6z Euro. Something is developing
  10. The latest HRRR look great for RVA when storm starts. I can’t post a pic but go to this link and view the 6z output that gives the longest hourly duration out. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&reg
  11. 0z Euro holds! If anything it tics up snow totals in RVA by an inch or two
  12. Miller A time on 0z! Southeastern and Tennessee forums lit up now…lol
  13. GFS slowly caving to Euro. We basically have two parts to the storm, beginning of the storm we get snow, goes to sleet/ freezing rain on Monday then back to snow as cold air draws in.
  14. That’s what I’m thinking as well. We squeeze out 4+” I’m good.
  15. the HRRR looked good but 3k was painful. It is a little early for mesoscale. I agree
  16. I saw it, ugh, dry slot and thermals are bad to basically DC. . Let’s hope it is a fluke.
  17. I was also talking about the HRRR as well. Looks colder then NAM
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