It is crazy the discrepancy in models still, Euro, RGEM and Ukie, all have the heavy snow band much further south. At what point do we begin trusting the short range models over GFS and Euro?
The latest HRRR look great for RVA when storm starts. I can’t post a pic but go to this link and view the 6z output that gives the longest hourly duration out.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr®
GFS slowly caving to Euro. We basically have two parts to the storm, beginning of the storm we get snow, goes to sleet/ freezing rain on Monday then back to snow as cold air draws in.