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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. 0z GFS makes a nice step towards the EPS/EURO 1/5
  2. 98L Hurricane Model 18z Suite was west from 12z.
  3. Anyone see P25 on Euro Ensembles for March 3rd. HECS….book it…. lol
  4. Yeah I saw the Feb 24th Storm on 0z Euro Looks good now. Would be interested in seeing the ensemble members. Let’s hope it holds. Knowing the way these Miller B systems nudge north this year, wouldn’t surprise me if it jackpots NOVA again. They have gotten lucky all winter. Hope I’m wrong.
  5. We can’t get a break this winter….NOVA will score again. lol
  6. EURO might be a blip. HRRR 12z short range is saying we get 2-3 inches . Doesn’t jump north.
  7. New LR weeklies look great for last week of March…lol
  8. 12z EURO has about 2 to 3 inches for our area Saturday. Honestly, if we get that then I’ll be happy the rest of the winter…lol
  9. Looks like we’re gonna have to wait until early mid March to possibly get a last-minute save. Looking at the indexes, everything is reversing and forecasted to become warm.. PNA is going negative and that’s gonna kill the Pacific. I’ve been really trying to remain positive, but it’s tough. The forecasted pattern a couple weeks ago was absolutely epic but there was too much just warm air in the country. MJO has stalled in 7 which is a warms phase and never makes it to phase 8. I won’t trust the LR weekiles anymore….lol Hope I am wrong and we get something next week.
  10. can you show animation on p10 just for laughs…..lol
  11. P10 please that’s all I ask for this winter…lol
  12. GFS gets some digital blue here PD, majority of precip still south but good trend.
  13. If the MJO can scoot into phase 8 end of next week it will help with colder temps.
  14. Agreed, need to keep watching, the storms always trend north
  15. Whats interesting on 12z for PD was the NS and SJ almost phased but the block was too strong and squished it all. Had block been any weaker may have turned out pretty nice. Still time.
  16. The block is too strong for PD. Everything is suppressed. Need that block to weaken for storm to move North. Maybe when the block starts to weaken we can see storm chances increase later in week.
  17. Another hit for the area! I’m a little worried about suppression but I like how it’s trying to pull north up coast. Wish EURO would go out past 240 to compare.
  18. We need ridge to setup more towards the plains and not rockies on the EURO. Still plenty of time.
  19. Hey! do you happen to have the ensemble members for l2z GFS.
  20. Big time! However, I live in short pump and we only get 4 inches…lol I’m sure the ensemble members will be lit up. Really good to see a storm now and even the V Day storm is looking better.
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