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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Conway7305
    12z AIFS Enzemble Members show some big hits for us
  2. Conway7305
    Several of the 18z AIFS Ensembles members have some BIG dog totals for Feb 14-15th timeframe.
  3. Conway7305
    I should have rented a Cottage in OBX this wknd.
  4. Conway7305
    Some serious eye candy at 318 hour of 0z GFS run….lol
  5. Conway7305
    The SREF and HRRR are couldn’t be more different currently . 18z HRRR has basically no snow in most of VA and everything sliding into NC/OBX minus a few inches for VA Beach. SERF has moisture surging ahead even into DC. A few of the SREF ensemble members has as much as 12 inches for Richmond… Lol.
  6. Conway7305
    Next storm opportunity Feb 4th-5th. However I’ll be up in PA so will probably miss that one…lol
  7. Conway7305
    This whole wknd storm seems odd on the euro. It looks like the low forms right off the OBX coast, and then drift southward and tucks into the border of North Carolina and South Carolina and then ejects East. I wonder if there’s any chance of that low just tucking into the VA coast instead?
  8. Conway7305
    This setup is sooo close to a big hit. If the Low shifted just 30-50 miles W, we would be talking big snow totals. Still a few days to go so we have that on our side. Minor changes can either be huge or bust for us.
  9. Conway7305
    Lots more hits this run. Will take p3
  10. Conway7305
    Would be cool to see all the ensemble members for that run. I’m sure some decent hits are in there.
  11. Conway7305
    Did the northern stream trend weaker? Is that why the slight jump NW.
  12. Conway7305
  13. Conway7305
    AIFS big jump NW. Euro jump NW as well
  14. Conway7305
    GFS always like 2 days behind the Euro and plays catch up
  15. Conway7305
    Icon did come back NW some but not enough. Positive change I guess from 12z run. OBX gets wacked.
  16. Conway7305
    Icon did move the storm N on this run
  17. Conway7305
    the only thing positive I can post is the 12z GEGS ensemble members. Lots of good hits for now.
  18. Conway7305
    It looks like everything keeps shifting S and E. Really wanted to see that L tuck into the coast and climb N some. Small changes can have big downstream effects so could easily shift back N. will see.
  19. Conway7305
    The energy in the Dakotas is shoving everything out to sea. Hopefully will correct.
  20. Conway7305
    EPS still looks good.
  21. Conway7305
    GFS has been holding steady, hopefully it will continue
  22. Conway7305
    The 0z NAM was a hit. 0z RGEM looked good and 18z Euro came back W Hopefully CMC and Ukie are outliers
  23. Conway7305
    Wow! What an insane run
  24. Conway7305
    It is!!
  25. Conway7305
    0z NAM is comming in HOT!! Too bad it ended when we were about to get pummeled
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