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vpbob21

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Posts posted by vpbob21

  1. 1 hour ago, WHEATCENT said:

    yeah the long range models don't do well with LE, I'm in Mentor so we hardly ever get good lake effect here. 

    This looks like a classic early season borderline temperature storm that's going to be a rainer near the lakeshore.  I don't know how close to the lake you are but I can see the lake from my window so I'm in the heart of the screwzone.  The good thing for you is that even if this one fails you'll have plenty more chances to get slammed.  Can't say that here where we only get synoptic snow.  This may well be the big event of the entire winter and we're likely to be shut out.

  2. 3 hours ago, nwohweather said:


    I’m kind of shocked. Went to Dick’s Sporting Goods and Target today, deader than a usual day. Crazy slow, let alone for a Black Friday

    That's certainly not the case around here.  I had a couple stores I wanted to go to today, but saw completely full parking lots so I just kept on driving.

  3. 3 hours ago, Hoosier said:

    Large increase in cases in Ohio.  Could be a one-off that quickly settles back toward baseline.  Will have to monitor trends there in the coming days.

    I think a lot of that increase can be attributed to the big spike in cases at the Marion Correctional Institution.  Marion County has gone from 91 cases to 983 cases in just the last 5 days.  What's concerning to me is that the virus finally seems to be moving into rural areas.  My county has gone from 5 cases to 28 cases in just the last week.  Dewine is talking about opening up the state by May 1 - IMO it is way to early to even be thinking about it.

  4. Great analysis OHweather, as always.

    I mentioned in the main thread that I just find it hilarious that Ottawa/Sandusky/Seneca/Erie/Huron/Lorain/Medina counties are the missing link in an otherwise unbroken string of winter headlines that runs from Montana to Maine.  I guess I can't really blame them for not wanting to pull the trigger, knowing how bad our snow climo is around here.  I do think some of the counties left out of headlines will eventually be added, especially Lorain and Medina (perhaps even warnings there) and probably the inland counties of Huron, Sandusky and Seneca.  The lakeshore counties might be a little more borderline with the warm lake temps cutting into accumulations,  but at the least it looks like everyone should get on the scoreboard for the season.

     

     

  5. Just walked outside to get the mail and it's downright brutal out there.  Sustained winds probably 30 mph with gusts 40-45 mph.  We have been in between bands of heavier snow for the last couple hours but according to radar better snow is about to move in.  Hard to measure but probably around 2.5" so far here.

  6. 19 hours ago, NEOH said:

    CLE is currently at 6.58" for July.... currently #6 wettest. Could make a run at #5 if we get more rain tonight/tomorrow. 

    And then you have TOL at just .30".  Amazing the contrast across 100 or so miles.

    Not sure exactly how much I've had but looking at my lawn I'd say I'm closer to TOL than CLE.

  7. 5 hours ago, OHweather said:

    It was too warm near the lake.  Sat at 33-34.  There have been a couple of marginal events where surface temps have been warmer than modeled.  An inch in Huron is ouch.  Definitely thought there’d be more based on the radar there, and saw a report on Twitter of 5” in Collins (which is much farther inland).  If I’ve learned anything from reading posts from you guys on the lake it’s that I’m never going to get a place right near a body of water if I can help it. 

    It actually started out fairly promising with close to an inch falling quickly after the changeover, but then the precip rate slowed and some rain started to mix in and pretty much stayed that way through the rest of the event.  I'm pretty used to these really borderline events not producing in November and early December but it really hurts when it happens near the end of the snow season when the lake should be colder.  I guess it shows how much the warm temperatures the last couple weeks raised the water temperatures.  I think with a mostly frozen lake we would have done a lot better.

  8. 4 hours ago, NEOH said:

    Not overly optimistic about snowfall. Just about all of the guidance has the heaviest snow north over the lake. And, the lake effect behind the system looks to set up well northeast given the wind direction. We just can't get a decent wnw wind direction. Hope I'm wrong but 2-3" is my call at least locally.

    Yeah unless something changes this is really going to underperform.  Got about .8" here before the dry slot took over and the snow wrapping back in doesn't look real impressive.  I'll probably be lucky to reach 2".

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