vpbob21

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Cuyahoga County in northeastern Ohio...
  Northeastern Lorain County in north central Ohio...

* Until 945 PM EDT.

* At 858 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Avon Lake to near Grafton, moving northeast at
  60 mph.

  THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR NORTHEAST LORAIN AND NORTHERN
CUYAHOGA.

  HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect
           considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles.
           Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Cleveland, Lorain, Elyria, Parma, Lakewood, Euclid, Cleveland
  Heights, Strongsville, Westlake, North Royalton, North Ridgeville,
  Avon Lake, Warrensville Heights, Grafton, Highland Hills, North
  Olmsted, Garfield Heights, Shaker Heights, Maple Heights, and South
  Euclid.

81 mph gust recently recorded at Lorain County airport

I would say we saw 50-55 mph winds as it came through.  Tornado warning just to my SE.

15/7/4

I'll give this winter a C for my area.  Not a great winter for snow (around 20") but a lot better than the pathetic 8" total from last winter.  One good thing was that what snow came down stayed on the ground for a while, unlike the past few.

If I were grading based on the winters I grew up with in the 70's, this winter would probably get an F.  I've had to adjust my grading scale over the years, otherwise just about every winter would get an F.

Got about 1.6" here, a little more than I was expecting.

Got about 3.5" this morning.  Looks very wintry out there!

First part was a dud here.  Got less than half an inch.  Hopefully the second part tomorrow delivers for us.

34 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath

I wish I could be as confident as you are.  Certainly there is big time potential here but plenty that can go wrong.  Last few GFS runs have been pretty good but I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.

Got another .6 last night, up to 12.7" for the season.

Really looking forward to the 29" the 18z GFS shows for me just before Valentine's Day (LOL)

Some of these snow showers behind the main area mean business.  Just picked up a quick half inch in about 15 minutes.  Up to about 2" for the whole event.

Picked up a disappointing 1.5" from last night's system.  Still, it pushed the seasonal total to 8.6" which is more than we got all of last year.

Picked up another 1.2" today.  We're slowly grinding our way to a decent snowpack, looks like around 3" on the ground.

Saw something you guys out east aren't going to be happy with, Lake Erie looked like all ice as far out as you could see out from Huron.  That surprised me a little, I didn't think it had really been that cold.

Picked up about 1.5" with the overnight and this morning's snow.  The line of snow showers that came through around 10 AM was very impressive, even better than the line that gave us the snow squall warning a few weeks ago.  Visibility at peak was probably 1/8 mile and we got 1" in maybe 15 minutes.

Looks like the Sunday night/Monday system has gone south on us (literally).  Never really had great expectations for this but was hoping we could score a 1-3"/2-4" type event out of it.  Even that looks overly optimistic at this point.  Hopefully we get more chances later in the month.

36 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

For anyone still following the now-Monday storm, the 00z GFS says congrats Kentucky. 

On the positive side the Canadian and the UKMET both came way north.

Picked up .6", up to 2.2" for the season.  Last year we didn't reach 2.2" until 1/14, so we're over 3 weeks ahead of last year!

Snow squall warning for my county!!  First time that I can remember.

We're on the scoreboard with .2!  Would have been a top 10 event last year.

4 hours ago, beanskip said:

Why are we dissecting 204 hour panels for a storm that hasn't formed yet and is forecast to behave like a drunken frat guy in the Caribbean for 3 days before eventually, possibly emerging into the Gulf? 

Probably because of how high the ceiling is for this.  If it can avoid going over land early on, given the SST's and lack of shear, I have to think cat 5 is very possible, if not likely. 

Will be interesting to see what the hurricane models will crank out once they start running.  Wouldn't be surprised to see at least one of them go sub 900mb.

1 hour ago, SethToast said:

Is it on any other website that doesn't require a subscription?

College of DuPage has it out to 360 hrs.

Also it notes that the 06Z and 18Z runs will now go out to 144 hrs.  That's a nice change.

5 hours ago, NEOH said:

Turned out to be a stormy and wet weekend. Picked up 2.10" of rain. Nice to have everything green again. 

Everything pretty much skipped over this area.  We picked up maybe .05".  Looks like we may have to wait another week to 10 days for the next chance.

If you believe the models the eastern half of northern Ohio may get pretty much whiffed by Beryl.  I guess this is just not our year.

Had a couple quick showers yesterday that dropped maybe .01.  The lake breeze is well entrenched so I doubt we see anything today.  Sunday is looking more iffy as the storms might fire just to the south and east of here.  Need that front to slow down just a bit.

12 hours ago, NEOH said:

Picked up 1" of much needed rain yesterday from the storms. Hopefully more to come. Yards were just starting to brown out locally. 

Congrats!  Storms were close enough Monday to hear thunder, but all raindrops avoided my yard.  Hopefully the cold front Sunday can produce for us.

20/9/5