vpbob21

1 minute ago, Snohio said:

So they changed their minds over the course of about an hour? Why? 

I have to think once BGM and ALY pulled the trigger on watches, the donut hole was so glaring they felt they had to put out a headline.  Pretty typical of them, being reactive rather than proactive with headlines.

26 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Or they could be one of the worst forecast offices in the country. Even Toledo TV mets frequently take shots at them and the "I-75 wall"

Yeah I thought about that but didn't want to be the one to say it 

Interesting, CLE electing not to go with a WSW,  even with CWA's both upstream and downstream going with watches.  That tells me they think this is going to be an advisory level event.  Seems pretty conservative to me.  I have to think at least from I-71 east a watch would be justified.

18" right on top of my location?  Easy toss.

Picked up about 1.2" here,  nearly all falling in about 45 minutes.  Models nailed this one.

The second part of this system is delivering.  CLE had to issue a WWA for another row of counties north.  Picked up about 3" here since about 2:00, on top of the 1.8" overnight now approaching 5".  Still coming down at probably .5"/hr.

Just shy of 7" here.  Nice overperformer.  Hopefully we can keep the hot hand for the rest of the season.

Picked up almost 7" here.  That takes my total for the season above 17".  Last year I didn't reach 17" until February 12.

36 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

I spoke too soon. <1" for me now...

 

I would take 2-3" and be happy with it.  Unfortunately I suspect that is way overdone.

17 minutes ago, Jim Martin said:

0z GFS same as the previous runs earlier today.

Obviously not as good as the NAM but I thought the 0z GFS improved over the 18z.  The trough looks like it goes more negative tilt and the heavy snow gets back into the I-77 corridor.  Need a few more bumps west but hopefully we can reel this one in.

5 minutes ago, CoachLB said:

3K looks even further west.

Wow, didn't see that coming.  The NAM runs had been awful up until that one.

1 hour ago, McHenrySnow said:

You've had more than most.

I have to laugh at Ohio finally getting one decent storm and all of a sudden it's like we're the snowiest place on earth.  And it's not like that storm crushed the whole state - I don't have a snowfall map but I would guess at least half the state got less than 4 inches.  I did alright with 7.5" but most of the big totals were in the snow belt where they expect to be buried.

The last 3 or 4 winters have been brutal for snow in this area.  CLE's snow the last 2 winters combined is close to what 1 normal winter should bring.  In spite of the 10" in the 12/1 storm CLE is barely above normal for the season and will probably be below by Christmas Eve.  And it's far from certain that the Christmas Eve system produces in Ohio.

I would love for the entire subforum to have a good winter, but if most of the action passes through Ohio, I won't feel a bit guilty.

Right around 7" here.  Better than I expected.

7 minutes ago, jrips27 said:

Greetings all,

I’m thinking of driving up from the Atlanta area for Sunday-Tuesday and getting a cheap hotel somewhere in West/SW Ohio to see some flakes fall. Working from home for now so that allows me to go anywhere there is WiFi. 
 

Knowing quite literally nothing about Ohio - any tips on good spots that typically do well in these changeover setups? I was looking for somewhere around Dayton since it’s a bit shorter drive but willing to go anywhere. Bellafontaine caught my eye cause it sounds more elevated. 
 

EURO backed off a little bit but still a good thump (especially by Atlanta standards  )

 

Yeah I think Bellefontaine would be a  great place to be in this setup.  I think that area was the jackpot zone when Sandy came through here a few years ago.

1 hour ago, WHEATCENT said:

yeah the long range models don't do well with LE, I'm in Mentor so we hardly ever get good lake effect here. 

This looks like a classic early season borderline temperature storm that's going to be a rainer near the lakeshore.  I don't know how close to the lake you are but I can see the lake from my window so I'm in the heart of the screwzone.  The good thing for you is that even if this one fails you'll have plenty more chances to get slammed.  Can't say that here where we only get synoptic snow.  This may well be the big event of the entire winter and we're likely to be shut out.

18 minutes ago, fyrfyter said:

Maybe better luck with the lake enhancement on Tuesday?

Maybe but I'm not really optimistic.  With temperatures as borderline as what's being modeled any wind passing over the lake is probably going to screw the shoreline.  I can see myself looking at bare ground while 5 miles inland gets 6-10".  Maybe not as brutal as the 12/1/74 storm where amounts went from 1" to 20" across 5 miles (naturally I was on the 1" end) but still a heartbreaker.

2 minutes ago, fyrfyter said:

Euro is weaker and phase is late. Much lighter accumulations for much of Ohio. 

I'll take the under on that 9.5" that map shows for me.  My feeling is that areas near the lake will be lucky to see anything measurable.

9 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Somebody stole a bunch of Ohio posters.  At least that's my story and I'm stickin to it.  

We're all standing at the edge of the cliff waiting for the 12z Euro to tell us it's time to jump ...

3 hours ago, nwohweather said:

I’m kind of shocked. Went to Dick’s Sporting Goods and Target today, deader than a usual day. Crazy slow, let alone for a Black Friday

That's certainly not the case around here.  I had a couple stores I wanted to go to today, but saw completely full parking lots so I just kept on driving.

On 10/2/2020 at 2:09 PM, Hoosier said:

It is actually possible that the next 2 weeks will be more boring than the past couple.  Can't we get some tropical remnants or something?

Southern parts of the SF (at least) may have a shot with Delta.  12z models have moved north quite a bit.

16 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Impressive.  It was 107 already at 9am, and 120 by noon.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=DEVC1&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

They reached 120 at 11 am today. 

I'm going to predict a high of 131 today.

Not our sub but Death Valley reached 130 today.  Yikes.

3 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Large increase in cases in Ohio.  Could be a one-off that quickly settles back toward baseline.  Will have to monitor trends there in the coming days.

I think a lot of that increase can be attributed to the big spike in cases at the Marion Correctional Institution.  Marion County has gone from 91 cases to 983 cases in just the last 5 days.  What's concerning to me is that the virus finally seems to be moving into rural areas.  My county has gone from 5 cases to 28 cases in just the last week.  Dewine is talking about opening up the state by May 1 - IMO it is way to early to even be thinking about it.

Line of snow came through and was really lame.  Probably 5 minutes or so of 1 mile visibility snow.  I was hoping for a quick 1/2 - 1", but not even close.  Hope it does better for you guys out east.

Got about 2.5" here,  1" from the synoptic snow then that lake band swung through and dropped another 1.5".  Probably as well as we could have expected.