DaveNay

13 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

LOT already has -14 at ORD Thursday morning.  A week away.  

WUnderground says -21 Thurs morning at my location

57 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

The 06z GFS took the cake for most extreme solution for cold here. -41 at 850 at 12z Wednesday, with 500 mb heights touching 489 in far northeast IL and 1000-500 thicknesses in the 470s. We're at the point where moderation of what's being modeled will still give -30 or so at 850.

 

Noon 2m temps over northern IL on Wednesday in the low-mid -20s on the 06z GFS, just incredible stuff.

 

 

 

 

 

I've gotta think the moderation start showing up soon......please?!

Nice SFC temp gradient. 50 deg in 100 miles?

46 minutes ago, TheRegionRat said:

I live on the South Side Of East Chicago, Indiana.  I measured six inches in several locations and seven inches in a handful of locations. That's total snowfall.  

My in-laws used to live at Indy and Carrol (In the shadow of the old bridge)

Finally got out to snow blow. Driveway was probably 80% blown clear and 20% 8" wind packed drifts.

6 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

I'd much rather have snow as well, but if it is primarily a rain event it won't be the end of the world to me.  We have a good 8" depth out there, and it's quite dense.  Any rain will only glacier-ize it and cement it in good before the next arctic intrusion.  There's signs we could see some clippers beyond this storm so hopefully they would refresh the snow pack.

Personally, I like to see either a nice sunny 34 degree day or a touch of rain to stop the constant drifting across my driveway.

2 hours ago, beavis1729 said:

Glad you started the thread! 

At the moment, unfortunately, the only time period for which an arctic outbreak is fairly certain in Jan 25-26...and it looks to be short-lived.  It's often hard to break daily records with such a short-duration outbreak, due to possibility of getting the high temp at midnight. 

Various runs of many different models have been occasionally showing the motherload coming down after that...but then it either disappears on subsequent runs, or gets pushed back in time.  The 12z Euro from 1/18/19 was the craziest run of all, but it has since backed off significantly.

Anyway...here are the upcoming daily records for Chicago.  Even though Jan 25-26 seems to be the most certain, I'm including numbers for the rest of January in case the models bring back the arctic outbreak. At this distance, the record with the greatest chance of being broken (and it's still a fairly small chance imo) appears to be the low max of -3 on Jan 26.

Daily records (low and low max):

Jan 25:  -20 (1897); -10 (1904) 

Jan 26:  -16 (1897); -3 (1897)

Jan 27:  -10 (1955); -1 (1895)

Jan 28:  -13 (1977); -3 (1966)

Jan 29:  -16 (1966); -6 (1966)

Jan 30:  -15 (1966); 3 (2004)

Jan 31:  -12 (1985); 1 (1971)

Don't forget tomorrow is the anniversary of the all-time low temperature in Chicago. -27F 1985

I was in 8th grade, but for some reason I don't remember it at all.

Just now, mimillman said:

Some one in SE Wisconsin just got a s**t ton of snow in the past couple hours. Any reports?

I'm thinking Galena might be the jackpot

The wild thing is how the first storm triggers the madness at 9-10 days.

Just now, RyanDe680 said:

I am eager for this to be over, to see what we've learned from this.

 

Don't count your chickens before they hatch?

There'll be time enough for counting....when the dealin's done?

Never trust a fart?

7 minutes ago, King James said:

My man! Thank you for this. I daydream about experiencing this. I’m surrounded by fields for miles. Unfortunately this summer I didn’t catch a real nice lightning show. Looking forward to that as well.




.

Oh, you asked for a lightning storm?

July 13, 2015

https://photos.app.goo.gl/iiP8KvTGLkzrMFZaA

15 minutes ago, buckeye said:

Awesome pics.... Drifted snow is awesome!

I forgot one of my favorite ones:

You also need a pretty serious blower for serious drifts:

@King James asked for some perspective on winter storms out in the rural areas of northern Illinois....

Jan 12, 2016

Jan 27, 2014

Feb 3, 2011 (GHD I)

37 minutes ago, King James said:

Maybe bring it over to the banter thread if you feel like it but I’d love to hear some of your stories regarding storms in these rural areas. Came this way for the big sky and open fields and get the sense that Mother Nature is pretty powerful out this way. The sound of the wind alone is so much different than in the suburbs (grew up near midway)


.

I can tell you that GHD I & II were absolutely incredible out here in the open farm country of DeKalb.

1 minute ago, AWMT30 said:

I am expecting a corridor of 6-10" from Chicago to Detroit Lollipops of 12+ for Chicago with lake enhancement 

I am expecting disappointment for everyone west of PA with some exceptions in OH

12z is also casting doubt on that cold spell next week.

12 minutes ago, KokomoWX said:

Almost as good as Cantor showing up.

A dead German mathematician showing up would be impressive.

13 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Sweet jebus, my coffee mug frosted over just looking at that.  

That would set records in all 48 states I think.

2 hours ago, DAFF said:

Top shelf weather today.. Don't think a early January day could get much nicer. Then again, a repeat of 5 years today would be nice.

Superb here today too. We went to the Morton Arboretum today and when we left, there must have been at least a hundred cars waiting in line to get in. They were raking in the cash today for sure.

7 hours ago, on_wx said:

Looks like 11.34" in KW. I was 10 and dont remember this storm. 

It's weird....I was 27 and living within 10 miles of my current location and for some reason, I have no memory of this storm.

During the November blizzard, I discovered that the tractor I use for the snowblower needs about $1k of work in order to run the blower.

I have no idea if I should take it in to the shop or not.....especially since this is my last winter up north and I am unlikely to ever use the blower again.

35 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Now that the New Year's system looks like it won't happen it's looking like the first week of Jan will be a dud outside of the lake belts.  Hopefully mid Jan brings something of interest lol.

After that, there will only be 7 weeks of met winter remaining.

2 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

Getting into the micro-climate of the Triangle, you're (Chapel Hill) on the cold side of the "line". Many times winter storms feature a transition zone right through this area. This has been particularly present during the last three years; whereas folks north and west of Raleigh have had some great storms, and folks to the south and east have not faired as well. This is not always the case. There have been big winter storms to affect the eastern portion of the state. I think we are well over due for one of these storms. 

I'm still unsure how to interpret statements such as "cold" in the Triangle. Cold to me is 7-10 days of zero degrees F with night time lows in the minus teens or even twenties.

I suspect the cold you are talking about will feel like spring or autumn to me for the first two or three years after we move.

5 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

Welcome to the area. You'll like it here if you're a weather enthusiast. I personally think we have a great climate. It's possible to have a hurricane and a blizzard in the same year. Not many places can say that. This area is the Masen Dixon line of weather.  

Yeah, we consciously chose someplace that still has four seasons, just not the death cold of the last decade in the northern midwest.

45 minutes ago, JacobNC said:

I think the first three weeks of this year was the best weather I've ever seen living in NC. Great snow and cold, never seen the lakes frozen so hard.

I want to move up north for uninterrupted subfreezing temps hehe.

Want to trade? We're moving from northern IL to the Chapel Hill area so that we can get away from the uninterrupted subfreezing temps.