DaveNay

Interesting juxtaposition:

Warmest Christmas in Chicago history: 1982 - I was 11 years old in sixth grade.

Second warmest Christmas in Chicago history: 2019 - my son is 11 years old in sixth grade.

8 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

The updated (FV3) GFS is the Mitch Trubisky of forecast guidance.  The Euro is Tom Brady.  The GEM and ICON are Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tim Tebow.

The entire winter is Michael Vick - not actually in the game, yet everyone keeps talking about him.

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

You know it’s bad when the GFS doesn’t even have a fantasy snowstorm the entire run...which extends into the first days of January. Not just for our region, but the whole country pretty much.

 

 

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Met's, please educate me.

Are long range (340 hr) forecasts of "nothing happening" more accurate than long range major storms? We have all seen the "clown maps" of insane forecasts at those ranges and know that they are likely to disappear. Does this mean that there is an equal chance of an event showing up out of nothing on models like we currently have?

Winds seem to be backing off several hours earlier than forecast here. Interestingly, they never feathered the wind turbines today, so I wonder if the FPL met's had a different read on the situation.

That makes two of us watching from afar, though you are much farther away. Is it still unseasonably warm out in western Europe?

I'm watching from northern Illinois. We are moving to Chapel Hill next summer, so I wasn't expecting this. LOL, we already had a blizzard and 10" of snow this year.

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