40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Boing.
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That is why I'd sign for it. PV lobe phasing in during neggy NAO of mod nina 2nd half isn't a shabby assumption, either lol
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Realistically speaking, I feel like we will probably get that, plus a decent pure snow event...maybe like a another 30"+ to go.
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I agree, but I'm ready for garbage...at least that's something....I mean, I'd sign for 4 SW events at 3" a pop for Feb and March, and call it a month. 24" more on the season.
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I think it will have the more shredded look the further NE you go....hopefully about a mile NE of ORH to Holliston- N Weymouth line.
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Yea, take pics of it now to savor, while he still can
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You can do better than that...I'm pretty optimistic for like you and Steve points sw. I should get a First Call out tmw.
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I honestly hope it works out down there...I really am past being bitter over a few inches of snow. Get 12", while I smoke cirrus, and I'll want to rip your heart out....but with this, we're good lol
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Yea, I think Luke has an outside shot at a low-end warning event, but my ceiling is like 2".
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Absolutely, but as I have mentioned, the problem is that the vehicle for said deviation constructively interferes, not deconstructively, as it does with positive ENSO. If anyone cares to explain why a faster flow and displaced Hadley Cell will resolve the issues that are inherent of second half la nina seasons, then I'm all ears....and I'm not being a sarcastic dick, as is usually the case.
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Raise your hand if you are ready to ditch the damn block and take chances with precip type.......(raises hand)
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Best western look we have had in weeks, which is why I was originally hopeful for that one, but the busy N stream and the Pac kicker displacing the ridge east are killing us.
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This is one of the reasons mod la nina seasons do not produce many big events for us. I know you aren't a fan of generalizing seasons based off of ENSO, but when you have one big second half in nearly 100 years of data, there are probably reasons why.
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I use the word "hope" loosely, as I am about 80% confident of failure on that, too.
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My hopes, and probably even the pike region, ride on 1/29 to avoid one of the worst January months in history. I sit at 2" on the month....only worse years are 1962, 1969, 1980 (futility season), and 1992.
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I think you have a decent shot at that.
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Not feeling it, dude. We missed the boat IMO. Next week is our shot to hop aboard, but if next week goes awry, which is more likely than not, then I would hope to approach climo at best.
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I actually think spring may be decent this year bc we are getting the blocking during the winter for once (I know, big help). It should break up over the next month.
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Spring.
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Pretty futile back-to-back. 1/29 system does drop 14mb in 6 hours, though lol
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It doesn't matter how far north this comes for me, my ceiling is about 2". The farther north, the more shredded.
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Yea, that looks like my call...we'll see.
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No, I mean Feb probably won't be as warm as I thought...and blockier.
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My analog composite nailed that...it showed up clear as day. Probably gonna be too warm and not blocky enough w Feb, though.
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Today 12z was def. better than yesterday.
