40/70 Benchmark

Go ICON

It's all good. Forecast could have been better, and I appreciate your feedback.

Agree.

Probably about the same as me....I was better east, and they were better west.

Yea, respectfully disagree. I think B- covers it...I think you are a bit biased bc the forecast busted in your back yard, which sucks...I get it. But for the region as a whole, it was decent....flawed, and thus not great, but decent.

Feb 1-2 High Impact Winter Storm: Verification Here is the Final Call for yesterday's winter storm: And what verified for the sake of comparison: While this was a good forecast overall, there were three rather glaring issues that distinguished this particular efforts from some of the best forecasts. 1) The residual forcing from the parent system that infiltrated western New England was a bit stronger than indicated on the Final Call. A range of 8-16" would have been a more accurate representation. 2) The area of subsidence in the CT river valley was overstated. A general 8-12 swath would have sufficed, as opposed to the 4-8" and 6-10" ranges employed. This is likely related to the forcing from the original parent low remaining somewhat stronger across western New England, as alluded to in forecast critique #1. This likely negated some of the subsidence and down sloping that otherwise plagues the CT river valley in deep layer easterly flow events. 3) The snowfall gradient near the eastern Mass coast was about as sharp as has ever been witnessed, thus this was obvious underemphasized in the forecast. The thermal layer in the lower half of the atmosphere near the immediate north shore, and over much of southeastern Mass, the cape and islands was not able to overcome the marine influence as much as anticipated. Other slight critiques interior northeast Mass, where a couple of 20" reports from West Newbury and Wilmington slightly exceeded the 12-18" forecast range. Additionally, the 12-18" range over southwestern CT should have been extended slightly further to the northeast, given the stronger forcing with the parent low. Final Grade: B-

Dom is like the nw tip..

+16.5" 39" on the season.

They did decently in Dec, though.

39" now for the season...need 11-20" more to nail the seasonal call.

I seldom see IP from cf bc its BL warmth.

How did NYC, BWI and DC do?

I would have lost it if I lived there....12/17 and last night.

I think your latitude makes it tough bc you need the mid level warmth for that, which often gets washed out s of you in SWFE and such.

Gotcha. I ended up shoveling the second half of night, so wasn't glued to comp. Makes sense why KASH got porked, as they missed best firehose and CF

Are you west Billerica? I measured that right near E Billerica line.

Several, yea... just frustrating bc that area has beaten me in every, single major event since I moved lol

Yup. No complaints.

Wilmington had more then. You have about what I do.

VD Day.

Yea, could have been worse...Nashua got porked again.

Yes...TBH, by NE MA standards, I still missed out to Wilmington area in Methuen...you just aren't hearing about bc I was in Wilmington most of the event. Some of the more seasoned mets and vets were trying to tell me I was going to get smoked by the CF, and I said no...will be se of me in Wilmington. Exactly what happen. They beat me by 4".

I won't see any dog shit for months

Let's please put to bed this crap that you need a 36 hr event to get big totals. This event is a perfect illustration...this SLOW mover has consisted of 10-12 of all hell breaking loose, and another 12 hrs of flurries. This is not a complaint whatsoever...loved the event, but big totals are achieved via several hours of intense dynamics, not 48 hours of impact.

I can't wait to move back to Wilmington/Tewksbury area.