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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    32.4 this morning...just missed a freeze. Impressive Probably the coldest that it will get all of January 2021.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro was good with intensity for Laura...it was a bit weak with Sally.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not hearing much about the UK, which has been dead-nuts on this season....just about the EURO, which took Laura into Houston and Sally into west of New Orleans. Here is the most likely outcome. Not to mention that its more congruent with climo, which favors large phases further NE, towards the maritimes.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your weenie self-respect.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...the mea track of NE canes does not run through Bermuda. Exactly.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    We dodge!
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd give the effort for Sally an A. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/hurricane-sally-verification.html
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I told a stormchaser on facebook that if a cat 3 landfalls in NE, I'll chase with him wearing a dress and high heels. I stand by that.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Intensity didn't change for Final Call, but track shifted somewhat east. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/hurricane-sallys-approach-final-call.html
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been that way more often than not over the course of the past decade.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right.....most disparate with snowfall, though....2005 wasn't that cold, but near normal.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last winter was nothing like 2004-2005 for the northeast in terms of snowfall.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. This weak la nina doesn't look as good for the ne as many have, though. Agree with a lot of what has been said in here, unfortunately.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/09/sally-to-threaten-beleaguered-n-gulf.html
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm still on the weak train for now.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh yea......boring period for sure.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    My main issues with 2007-2008 is the la nina intensity and QBO, which I have seen you discuss. Not a terrible analog, though.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look like avg precip north of the pike, if we want to split hairs at several months lead. :LOL:
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Megalopolis system, December 1981 event, Blizz of April '82 and the March 30 1984 event stand out in my mind....
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is bad news...you always want the cool anomalies in the eastern regions, regardless of ENSO.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you mean January 1987....
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't disagree with this.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That has zero to do with my actual outlook. Its simply a base ENSO composite.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is my insanely preliminary weak la nina composite....only sorted by ENSO, at this point.
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