40/70 Benchmark

I'm sure @ORH_wxman can hep me here....name the January events that dropped widespread 20"+ over a relatively large area without a true arctic airmass....probably a fairly short list.

Seen folks talking about truly upper echelon potential......you need arctic air around to achieve that, at least in January, anyway....I'm not referring to just temps and I don't necessarily mean P-Type issues. Its tough to pull off a true upper tier systems in mid January without arctic air. You have more margin for error at peak climo with respect to temps and reasonably large systems....but good luck pulling widespread 20"+ in mid January without arctic air. I'm not complaining about it...just stating an opinion.

It certainly helps.

I've been out all day.....is guidance shifting the blocking south of Greenland?

Sign me up.

Agree...snow map will under do mid levels a bit.

I take that.

I think 10-15"...I got 11".

I pegged my spot for subsidence in the 12/17 event the whole week leading up to it...not sure what you are smoking.

I would not at all be suprised if the NAO is overdone later in January....we need to watch for that. I actually think the PAC should start to improve, though.

I'd take my spot over Kevin's.

No.

If the lift is there, so won't the snow.

Yea, people are setting themselves up for dissapointment if they are expecting a Jan 2011 redux, but hope I'm wrong.

All he means is there isn't any arctic air around to enhance deformation and lift....maybe relatively underwhelming cyclogen.....the value of arctic air extends beyond simple thermals ie precip type.

I think that ship sailed, but nice event en route if expectations aren't zonked.

Yea, sneaky good spot.

I'm more excited for this than I was for the 12/17 Boxing day redux.

Yea, I like from you to me...interior e MA if there is such a thing.

We can go warning IMO

That spot always does well....its the ORH of e MA

That looks great.

Yes