SnoSki14
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October will be another blowtorch. The whole CONUS is on fire
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Looks very mild overall for the entire US with the weekend chill sort of a blip in the warm pattern. The onshore flow and coastal low could blunt highs but should still be plenty warm.
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That slowdown is what's causing the energy to get left behind and potentially become an ocean storn in the onshore flow environment. Don't know what, if any impacts will result from this but another coastal storm wouldn't surprise me.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Definitely will see tons of volatility but that doesn't mean snow either. We could have powerful, wet systems though if any arctic air gets involved then maybe. -
Lock that in for winter
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Very warm feel today and humid too.
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Mod/heavy near New Brunswick. Looks like a good slog of it too. Quite gusty as well
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There's not enough time for substantial weakening.
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We have about 8-9 hours til landfall. So it's a race against time with the shear. The storm has done a remarkable job fighting it off. No doubt the very warm, undisturbed gulf and jet stream alignment helped big time.
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Recon doesn't show degradation. I'm not sure what people are seeing. It's still generating very strong convection near center. It looks very steady to me.
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It's still a tropical entity that will bring an influx of moisture. I could see 2-3" amounts.
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The Nino is going to accelerate the warming to a degree no one has ever seen.
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Looks like a repeat of last month with the mega ridge to the SW of here.
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It's clearing out on visible
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You would need a massive Nino override for it to work out for us. Like a rare CC induced combo that actually produces a snowier outcome.

