SnoSki14
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About SnoSki14
- Birthday 08/10/1988
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High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. You need to be well N&W or elevated
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You're getting white rain at best, surface temps are way too warm Probably have to wait til mid Dec for a light to moderate event. Seems likely we'll get something with coming pattern
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
SnoSki14 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
For SNE and north sure, not down here. -
Probably more likely than normal that we see some snow. Very volatile weather pattern though
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This set-up would probably work in January with a colder antecedent air mass. Track isn't bad. Fast flow doesn't allow low to amp up and move inland.
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You aren't getting snow in the city next week. High is retreating, low will cut west. Not enough cold out ahead of it either. It's a lost cause
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On the bright side today shows the MJO getting to phase 8, which reflects the early snow threats to our N/W zones
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Favorable snow pattern for midwest/lakes and C/N New England. Lean towards cooler than normal further south but likely too warm for snow due to unfavorable storm track.
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Lock it in
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The only thing I could see is the fast flow helping a system from over amplifying and if there's enough cold air in place we get some overrunning. That's prob the best we can hope for
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I remember the 2018 Thanksgiving cold snap, that was some serious mid winter style cold
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It's been pretty much the same winter pattern for the last decade minus a few blips here and there. -
It feels that way. Same ole garbage pattern locked in for years. At least I got to experience an amazing winter stretch from 2000-2018
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You won't see MJO 8, it's already curling back to COD
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You always post the same day 15+ ensembles that show a supposedly amazing pattern that never comes to fruition
