SnoSki14

There's a follow up system that has more potential imo

There's a follow up system that has a better chance to do something a few days later.

Keep dreaming

We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking.

A lot of northern stream disturbances and clippers likely. We should clean up

Yeah it ain't happening

I think 1st half is cold/dry though def not snow free but second half gets a lot more active with that blocking pattern + RNA

I remember that storm like it was yesterday with the infamous "convective feedback" Heard it was one of the top analogs for the coming storm too.

Guidance is showing several fast moving clippers coming through, maybe one or two amplifies and we get a moderate event otherwise probably 1-3" type stuff.

Things would have to start trending today. Unfortunate if they don't because upcoming pattern looks mainly cold/dry with light northern stream systems only.

GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done

Eh I'm not seeing a lot of positive trends. I'll give it another day to turn things around but it's occluding way too far south and too early. GFS does the best with southern stream system so I'll keep an eye out but we need to see some big moves soon.

Boom or bust basically with a chance at a 6-12" SECS

Yes please

Ridge out west is pretty far back so this definitely has room to trend NW. It's mostly about where it decides to close off that'll tell the story. And yeah historically it ends up being much further north than current forecast shows, which would be ideal for us. Definitely not out of the game yet, not this far out