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SnoSki14

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    East Brunswick, NJ

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  1. It doesn't take much to dump a lot nowadays
  2. Latest HRRR dry slots most of that area
  3. Models consistently nail us later today. Watch for spin ups with warm front nearby
  4. It certainly wouldn't surprise me if the atmosphere and planet tried to establish an equilibrium after the Super Nino. With some data showing earth briefly getting to 2C in 2027 (which is crazy) a pullback is possible, if not likely.
  5. Warmth isn't evenly distributed. Several LR models have the US as the coldest anomaly on earth while the rest of the planet torches. It all depends on where the ridges set up. Despite that you can never go wrong with saying it'll be an AN winter temperature wise in today's AGW era.
  6. It already has. NYC used to have their climate only a few decades ago. Now they have what we did.
  7. Not behaving like any of the other strong Ninos so anyone thinking this winter will be a repeat of those strong Nino years needs to think twice
  8. Couple of MCS complexes look to move through. One in east PA will clip us over next couple hours with much more significant one in the evening
  9. It was wild earlier, looked like a microburst
  10. Strong Bermuda High pattern with very high dews. We may not see widespread rain but those that get hit will get hit hard.
  11. Well you're not getting a +PDO so I guess we'll all be tanning in mid January
  12. A +PDO coupled with a super Nino is just 97/98. A -PDO could cause deconstructive interference which makes the pattern much more variable.
  13. The 23/24 Nino was supposed to be very favorable for snows but it ended up being one the warmest/least snowiest. ENSO is still just one factor
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