SnoSki14

That's when the storm retros towards the coast so makes sense.

It does have that eerie calm before the storm feeling.

This will increase rain totals as largest totals are on SW side of retro low. This could lead to more tree damage as you get the rains plus winds. Fully leafed out trees too.

Current satellite looks pretty impressive. The prolonged nature of this plus high tide I think guarantees several places meet major coastal flood category.

It'll be very banding oriented rather than steady rain.

Models seem pretty locked in on this getting to LI or just south and heading due west into NJ a la Sandy. Obviously a much weaker version of that but could definitely result in major coastal flooding. Peak impacts are Sunday morning. A lot more rain than a Sandy solution given it'll be further north.

People are greatly underestimating how destructive this will be for the coast.

Like a tropical system with banding.

Kinda wild how different the solutions are this close in.

If the storm goes south of LI and towards Jersey then it will most certainly have a tropical component

That's a very subtropical storm structure

People underestimating coastal impacts. Prolonged easterly flow, strong winds and rain with mod/major coastal flooding on top of full moon this weekend. But sorry it's not a Cat 3 that's about to destroy your house.

Substantial and laughable shift with GFS. That model is a dumpster fire

RGEM was coming in west too. Think gfs starts to cave.

Full moon too. Yes it would be ugly for the coasts.