Severe Weather Thread 2026

[NorthHillsWx]

22 minutes ago, mclean02 said:

https://youtu.be/q9S8WRkAw0g?si=MRqIr5eI-hA5adjI nice video explaining what happened 

This is EXCELLENT. The last thing he says is why this shouldn’t have been a 4 though: “There were a lot of questions, a lot of failure modes going into it”. If that was the case, the upgrade was not warranted because a level 4 risk states “high confidence” as a prerequisite to issue. If this had been kept at a level 3 overnight due to those questions the public would not have reacted the way they did and the perceived bust would be much less significant. Just my 0.02 but rarely so we see a day 2 level 4 and it seemed so preemptive we didn’t even start a thread here 

[NorthHillsWx]

On 3/16/2026 at 8:25 AM, NorthHillsWx said:

Maybe I’m just optimistic but we had a lot of rain this morning and it’s thick overcast with storms progged to initiate in the next 2-3 hours. Barely windy too. Don’t ever remember significant severe events here with late morning to noon timing and cloudy/rainy antecedent conditions. Definitely some juice, anything that goes up is popping lightning even small cells to our east but this does not have the look of a classic event here in central NC. Parameters are concerning but with CAPE lacking we might not maximize the potential, or so I hope

@eyewall I thought the same thing when I walked out yesterday morning and posted here. It didn’t feel like a volatile airmass especially with the midday timing. Unless it’s a derecho or there isn’t any morning convection at all midday almost never works for severe. I never saw the sun yesterday btw.