Invest 94L—30% 2 day and 80% seven day odds of development

[WxWatcher007]

This is a pretty wild setup. Everything is on the table. I can't recall two invests being this close to one another. 

 

[GaWx]

12Z UK 94L: TD just NE of C Bahamas moving ESE

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 24.5N 77.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 29.09.2025 108 24.5N 77.2W 1008 28
1200UTC 29.09.2025 120 25.0N 77.0W 1008 27
0000UTC 30.09.2025 132 25.0N 77.1W 1007 27
1200UTC 30.09.2025 144 24.4N 76.6W 1006 24
0000UTC 01.10.2025 156 23.9N 75.0W 1005 25
1200UTC 01.10.2025 168 CEASED TRACKING

[WxWatcher007]

Although there’s not much in the way of low level center, there’s a pretty robust mid level reflection as evidenced by visible satellite and  TJUA radar. Not sure I buy the 12z GFS evolution.