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Invest 91L - 40/70

BarryStantonGBP
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8 members have voted

  1. 1. WHAT NAME WILL IT GET

  2. 2. HOW STRONG WILL IT GET

  3. 3. WHERE WILL IT HIT

    • nowhere
      5
    • caribbean
      0
    • mexico
      0
    • conus
      3
    • canada
      0
    • europe/yookay
      0

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BarryStantonGBP

BarryStantonGBP

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2 hours ago, Wannabehippie said:

Tons of dry air out there right now. Even the NHC is making notes about it now how it will inhibit any development for the next few days. Unless that dry air lifts up, or otherwise gets out of the way, this will be a whole lot of nothing.

g16split-4.jpg

some models have 91l forming in the subtropics but I've already pressed X to doubt

the atlantic = dubai or Karachi RIGHT NOW

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WxWatcher007
WxWatcher007

I think all the model chaos just speaks to the uncertainty around if/when/where 91L develops. Everything kind of flows from there so an error in the short term means dramatically different outcomes in

olafminesaw
olafminesaw

Of the 22 systems since 1980 to pass within 100 miles of the British Virgin Islands in September, 5 made landfall in the us (22%). This feels like a reasonable benchmark based on model consensus, alth

NorthHillsWx
NorthHillsWx

The idea this becomes a carribean storm is increasing. One other thing to note is several models show quite a bit of wind shear when the system approaches the islands. Perhaps they are seeing a shallo

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