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Averages


Fantom X
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Hi All

So I've always wondered why the averages the way they are. I think they should be broken down by specific pattern. 

For example-

What would the average high in January in NYC be for all El Ninos, La Ninas? Average high for all -NAO, Average high for a sunny day, average high for a cloudy day?

So it NYC has a +3 day, but we're in a Nina pattern, what is the average during La Nina on a cloudy day? It may be a degree warmer? or cooler?

Maybe that' asking a bit much but what are your thoughts on this?

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7 hours ago, Fantom X said:

Hi All

So I've always wondered why the averages the way they are. I think they should be broken down by specific pattern. 

For example-

What would the average high in January in NYC be for all El Ninos, La Ninas? Average high for all -NAO, Average high for a sunny day, average high for a cloudy day?

So it NYC has a +3 day, but we're in a Nina pattern, what is the average during La Nina on a cloudy day? It may be a degree warmer? or cooler?

Maybe that' asking a bit much but what are your thoughts on this?

Yeah I don't find averages to be very scientific at all.

The climate is dynamic and has been changing throughout history.

Now it's more human influenced than it ever was before, but still "averages" don't sound scientific to me.

I think we should use standard deviations instead.

 

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