kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Mesoscale Discussion concerning Metro Atlanta Quote Mesoscale Discussion 52 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 0052 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1052 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023 Areas affected...east central Alabama and western Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 121652Z - 121745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues along the eastern advancing line of storms which is expected to move into east central Alabama/Georgia later today. DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues to advance eastward through northern Alabama. Within this line, transient circulations have been noted on radar. Ahead of this line, the KMXX (Maxwell Air Force Base) VAD profile depicts 0-1 km storm relative helicity around 150-200 m2/s2. 15z RAOB from BMX indicates upstream 0-1km SRH around 300 m2/s2. The wind field over eastern Alabama/Georgia is expected to increase through the afternoon as flow aloft increases in the next few hours. RAP analysis shows 850 mb winds increasing to around 45-50 kts by 19-20z. Surface objective analysis indicates surface based CAPE around 1000-1500 j/kg across this region and the convective inhibition is reduced. This environment will continue to be conducive to tornado development within the line of storms, with the threat gradually spreading east through the afternoon. A Tornado Watch downstream of WW17 will likely be needed for portions of eastern Alabama and western Georgia this afternoon. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 01/12/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX... LAT...LON 32228624 32468645 32848643 33418613 33928581 34258553 34608500 34648467 34618443 34608431 34468395 33988408 33708415 33468428 33308438 33058449 32698472 32508486 32178529 32108566 32118601 32228624 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Confirmed tornado in Greensboro, AL by the city officials Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Confirmed by NWS BMX NEXRAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 1 minute ago, kayman said: Confirmed tornado in Greensboro, AL by the city officials Saw that, decent rotation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Greensboro, AL confirmed storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Storm that passed through Greensboro, AL still has a debris signature via BMX NEXRAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Yeah I’m thinking it has a decent TOR down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Another one, this one has a very large hail potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 The Greensboro, AL storm is shifting more north than east though it's still confirmed by NWS BMX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, kayman said: Another one, this one has a very large hail potential Will be interesting afternoon in W/N Georgia for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 The wx chat is stating the storm that went through Greensboro, AL is cycling but still has very strong rotation in southern Bibb & northern Perry counties, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Confirmed again by the NWS BMX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 These strong cells within the line is breaking up into individual supercells. This one further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 PDS Tornado Warning for the Bibb/Perry County storm by NWS BMX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Tied to the Bibb/Perry County confirmed tornado into Chilton County, AL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 The new Shelby County/Talladega County storm near Vincent, AL has a Svr. T'Storm Warning. However it's showing signs again rotation. It's a QLCS looking storm. It's the storm cluster that did produce the confirmed tornadoes near Duncanville, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 It's over Talladega National Forest but it's headed towards northern Chilton County which is populated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 The other storm below the confirmed tornadic storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, kayman said: The other storm below the confirmed tornadic storm Continuation of this storm tornado warning now including Selma, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, kayman said: It's basically a QLCS embedded within the line now but it's still cycling per wx chat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 It's becoming more elongated & a damaging wind threat though there are still signs of rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Dallas County, AL storm that still rotating as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 New tornado watch for Metro Atlanta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Likely tornado headed towards Selma, AL *sigh* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Now confirmed tornado headed towards Selma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Confirmed tornado over Northern Mobile County, AL headed towards rural Northern Baldwin County, AL in the Alabama River into Mobile River basin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 Omninus QLCS former confirmed tornadic storm over Perry, Bibb counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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