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A potential cold December exists for the eastern half of the United States. Following the historical Buffalo snowfall and the NAO index going negative in the face of the third straight winter of La Nina, this video discusses how to use teleconnections to predict weather months in advance--ENJOY
wdrag posted a topic in New York City MetroRJay said go ahead: More wintry threats appear for our area the first 3 weeks or so of March based on any chance of ensemble reliability. Beyond the first day of Spring = March 20, MJO/ENSO trends may be the best choice. The storm track appears to favor the Ohio Valley into the northeast with a tendency for increasing contrast in air masses between the developing colder than NORMAL southern Canada (in response to Arctic Warming aloft that has modeled for at least the past 2 weeks of weeklies by the EC 46 day EPS) and what appears to be a rather warm southeast USA (MLB-there's your cue to get things settled). The ensembles are favoring an energized storm track from about the 5th-6th of March into the middle of the month. Some of us should enjoy more IMPACT snow (or ice if you enjoy that). Increasing solar input will allow faster daytime melting. Whether we can match the recent decade of March heavier snow totals vs December snowfall in NYC? (referring to some earlier NYC subforum documentation that caught our attention earlier in February). Added the CPC updated graphics of weeks 2, 3-4 at 557P/25
There is a solid chance for really cold Temperatures across the Northern, Central, & parts of the Southern Plains before shoving eastward towards the East Coast to Start November.