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Showing results for tags 'Heavy Rainfall'.
Found 6 results
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Isolated 4" rainfall possible by daybreak Saturday for w CT, se NYS where OKX has issued a flood watch this Friday afternoon 5/8/25. Most modeling has a needed 1-3" spread out over a 36-42 hour period ending Saturday morning. Flood guidance suggests we'll need 2.5" in a 6 hour period for flooding. Lesser rainfall LI NJ and ne PA under 1.5". A snapshot of ensemble forecasts showing minor flooding anticipated at several gages in the north part of the NYC subforum. Long ways to go. We'll add some CoCoRaHs amounts at 9A Friday and see where we stand.
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Go!
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A fall to remember? Post your obs and discussion here.
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A September to remember? Post your obs and discussion here.
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Tropics are potentially heating up. Let's get things rolling.
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512P/3 hitttled topic header to the 5th-6th. Further topic update Saturday morning. NORA's life as TC will end as it nears AZ late next week, but its vorticity and PWAT infusion can be tracked across northern Rockies then northern USA, near and north of I80 (near and north of latitude 40N). The associated 500MB wind max appears to track across our area late on the 4th, but the moisture infusion is stretched to possibly lay out arross our area the 5th-6th. If the cold front stalls in our area, then the moisture release could be of 3" interest. Just need to wait a few more days to figure out if its just 1/4" convective showers or a stripe of 3" rainfall somewhere in our subforum. If the front does not stall passing through our area, then the impact will be nominal-all of this presuming the model track of NORA's remains is reasonably accurate. So, am not guaranteeing big impact but I do think this merits monitoring in our wetter than usual summer pattern. IF this does come into better focus as a significant player here, headline and tags will be upgraded.
