wishcast_hater

Seeing the NW thread red, clicking on it and finding a lengthy leaf discussion  ---All part of the fun of a lively (and botanically sensitive) weather forum...
 
 

NAM's 2 inches of QPF at a 5:1 ratio is a nice decent school canceler for SE Nassau/SW Suffolk.  Not giving up hope.

Just now, mannynyc said:

Big differences between the P-type map and 500MB vorticity on the Euro. Models are struggling with this storm.

 

 

They pretty much struggle with every storm that doesn't cut to the west of us. 

2 hours ago, golfer07840 said:

Have the link handy? Love old TV clips like that. In remember that storm well  

 

Oddly enough I want to say there was a major warm up right after and the snow didn't stick around long  

SuperStorm 93

Narration sucks and most of it is live reporting so I just fast forwarded through most of it.

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

We're also close to the 30 year anniversary of the March 1993 triple phaser aren't we?

 

I just watched a video on YouTube about that yesterday. Had Sam Champion and Al Roker clips - The Good Ol' Days

36 and rain. My buddy in Fallsburg said it’s been snowing since 5pm or so. He has a few inches already.


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Heavy sleet now. Which I guess is good to coat the warm roads.


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Snowing here just melting on contact except for what remains of my snowpack.


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Been snowing for the past 25 minutes or so. Just sticking to the snow already on the ground otherwise melting on contact.


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93 but east.  955mb just inside the bm.  Only 300 more hours to go!

I’m north of 84 by about 10 miles. We Definitely need a forum more dedicated to us folks up here. I lived in Yonkers for almost 20 years and the NY Metro forum was fine for me because of the proximity but things are vastly different up here.


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Yeah, this weekends storm isn’t it for the NYC metro or really any area within 100 miles of the coastline. It makes perfect sense too given where we are in the progression of the pattern change. I commend some people’s optimism that it’ll somehow trend south at the last second, but where we are in the progression of the 500mb pattern is not conducive of such a trend. A newly formed -NAO alone won’t get it done.

The prime window is from the 10th onward with the western trough finally pushing east, a more established Greenland block, a squashed SER, and the MJO pushing into phase 8. This weekend’s storm becomes a bombed out ocean low (hello 50/50) which alongside the Greenland block forms a textbook rex-block around the 10-12th timeframe. That progression is the key to the KU kingdom. This weekend is simply too early on in the process to deliver the goods.

What's the story with Friday/Saturday threat?  The Metro forum isnt discussing which leads me to believe its a non event. 

1 hour ago, Tatamy said:

I think the place to be for this event will in NY north of the Cuomo bridge and into CT.  I am looking at the 18z NAM and I think the amounts shown on the snowfall depth chart would be the ones to go with.  Anyone who is looking at 10:1 clown maps for snow fall amounts is going to be disappointed.  I just looked at a bunch of traffic cams out in western PA and every where I looked precip was not reaching the ground or was light rain (including elevated locations).  Wet bulbing will promote the changeover north of the city but elsewhere it will be mainly white rain (or a mix) and struggle to accumulate.

Cuomo Bridge?  You mean TapanZee.  While the cams you look at may show next to nothing once the coastal spins up coverage and intensity should fill in.

3 hours ago, JustinRP37 said:

Trace of snowfall on the ground in Patterson, NY! Woke up to some nice white snow for a change! 

Yes, I received about 1" overnight, everything was coated and looked beautiful. I wasnt expecting anything so this was a nice surprise when i woke up. 

Had freezing rain and ice pellets last night. Everything coated this morning with a temp of 28°. Roads were a bit slippery until I hit the main road which was salted.


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https://electroverse.co/north-america-hit-again-europe-snow/


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I have been keeping a written record of tomorrows and Saturdays arctic cold since last Wednesday. Just amazing how forecast temps change day to day. At one point my forecast low for Friday night was -12 with a high of only 6 and that was like 2 days ago. Now I’m forecasted a low of -7 with a high temp of 19. I really was rooting for 6 degrees as a high. Can’t win this winter.


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Almost 60 and mostly 50s in 1st half of February. Basically late March to early April weather. Not even touching freezing at night. 
Never seen anything like it. 

Snowing here. 1-2” expected. Guaranteed school delay.


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Effing Rain after .50” of snow. This Suuuccckkkksss.


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there is no such thing as "future" radar, it's just another highly imperfect computer simulation.
 

I have some left also. It looks like we get dry slotted and then when precip picks up again it quickly turns to rain. Still moderate snow here but not much longer. 

34 and moderate snow, sticking on colder surfaces. Today has the same look as Monday when we picked up 1.5. I'm not sure we even get that much this time. 

16 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

NAM caved to the RGEM

pics?