White Gorilla
-
Posts
2,685 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by White Gorilla
-
Wouldn't that depend on the strength of the NAO, AO negativity couplet? Most definitely a pac jet on steroids is going to at least dampen big snow potential. Also have to see how quickly or slowly the MJO traverses through the colder and warmer phases.
-
A lot of time to sort that one out
-
Anything worth discussing around Christmas week or the weekend before?
-
Thanks for the analysis. What factors would strengthen overrunning? Stronger HP to our northeast or different positioning of the HP? Greater magnitude of blocking?
-
Any possibility of models picking up greater enhancement as we get closer?
-
The flip to sleet is almost always sooner than expected. Happens every single freaking time in these setups in my experience.
-
Full agreement
-
I know exactly how you feel.
-
Mid level warmth is usually under forecasted in these setups. Almost every single time, I start hearing pingers after initial snow much sooner than progged. It is almost a given.
-
After 95-96, every winter after that was a let down until 00-01. Six long years of waiting for a snowy winter. We had some big snows especially where I was in Central MA in November 96, April 97, Dec 97, but that was about it. Far and few between. 00-01 had the white gorilla roaring again.
-
Hoping we can switch from soakers to paste jobs in the coming few weeks
-
Cautious expectations as always but we shall see.
-
Who knows, a few days from now, it may show us needing to worry about heat stroke.
-
We are owed a reverse March 2001.
-
So much time for models to make sense 10 days from now and a lot of details to sort out. If we can establish fresh arctic air first, half the battle is won. Just need the precip. Even if we don't get a KU, a clipper snow event with 2-4 inches in arctic air would be wonderful for the Christmas mood.
-
We will be singing "ice ice baby" away from the coast.
-
I am booking my hotel in Boston.
-
If only long range could be more accurate...
-
Fun and interesting times ahead.
-
I would conjecture that once the system on Saturday clears and its eventual influence on the pattern becomes clearer, the models will have better consensus.
-
Forecasts days out are so fickle and constantly changing, so yeah, best we not take anything seriously at that range, cold or warm.
-
That is what I meant. Anyway, back to next week...are any models showing icing?
-
88, he just proved your point.
-
Am thinking suppression is the least likely outcome. I am thinking a track into New York State given little blocking unless the weekend system can 50/50. But that would depend on extent of blocking. Even with an inland track, antecedent cold air might be tough to scour out especially low levels (ice signal?) , but that would depend on the speed of a retreating maritimes high.
-
About 3 inches here!
