Cold Rain

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

I'm sure we will trend colder and snowier as we head into next week!

Yes!  That's the spirit!

I like it when it goes off the color scale!

3 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Whoever punted January...hard to argue with that.   Ready to punt this whole winter if we have this for bulk of Jan. 

-AO/-NAO and we torch.   

Nice cross-polar flow!

The 6z GFS Para 384 500 mb anomaly chart is showing the rarely recorded Inverted Boogy Man pattern.  Though fabled to result in a tremendous build-up of southern snow and ice in its regular form, it typically follows warm winter periods and usually results in a dry NW flow when inverted (as seen below).

Just now, DopplerWx said:

dude its 12z, toss it. 

Oh yeah, we toss the 12z runs.  Forgot all about that!

When do the GFS sucks posts come out?  Around hour 192 or 204?

1 hour ago, Moonhowl said:

Hey man, negative snow vibes ain't cool

(their warm)

 

Haha

36 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

I wonder if there is a lurker in the forum who absolutely hates snow and is pounding their desk after every model run that shows snow.

JShetley, as it will ruin his call of January being done.

It's kinda funny how Brick gets slightly offended whenever someone posts something that goes against snow in his back yard.

48 hr RGEM looking good!

1 minute ago, SnowNiner said:

You're jinxing us man, take that sig down and lower your snow shields immediately.  Even the EPS is not as good now.  C'mon man!

Haha we'll see....

19 minutes ago, SnowNiner said:

lol, Cold Rain has the no snow for you sign in his sig.  Dang it, now I know all hope is lost.  

It's ok, still 7 weeks to go to get some snow this winter after this fail. (How's that for positivity and negativity in the same sentence!)

Reverse psychology?!

Shetley:

GFS FTW!

5 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Plenty of time to work that out. For the first time in winter ever, I'm legitimately trying to be optimistic...

Why?  Lol

Hopefully, it won't trend too far north to dry slot us.  Many areas need the rain!

Not a very encouraging set of model runs overnight.  Given the tendency of the models to overemphasize blocking and cold anomalies in the medium to LR, anyone in the SE to the east of the Apps should be a bit nervous here.  Hopefully, we'll see a couple of upcoming cycles that show the robust cold push coming back and intensified blocking in the NAO region.  Otherwise, this will be a marginal event for the northern/NW areas...at best.

4 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

As an outsider of sorts now, there does seem to be a lot of celebration for a system 9-11 days away which hasn't even shown up consistently in the modeling.

Of course, I can't lie, I'd be excited and ready to be heartbroken if I had skin in the game.

Given the atrociousness of the pattern so far, a 10 day snowstorm celebration is more than justified! :thumbsup:

13 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

IDK. We need a drought buster don't we? 

Not till Feb.  I heard Jan was done.

5 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

So who should start the thread (Since it will be asked 12 million times). 

 

I vote myself btw. 

We're going for cold rain here, not mild rain!

1 minute ago, No snow for you said:

yes. 

Figures

So does e26 or whatever it is still have Wake Co. with 36" on the NW side and .2" on the SE Cold Rain side?

Lol it's new here!  Only a few of us were over there anyway.

Shetley 

/Shetley

1 minute ago, SnowNiner said:

Lakes Low! HAHAHAHAHAHA!  I knew it!

Thanks for the map.