Cold Rain

3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

   I know right?!!?   That really was awful 

Yeah, and I'm sorry but she didn't look good either.

6 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

You throwing out the EC/UK/CMC, CR? The GFS is the only model squashing this thing ATM.

I just meant it in the context of needing broad model support for a mid-Atlantic/NEvcrush job.

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

 

North trend ftl!

On a better note, I finally watched the awful Mariah Carey New Years performance.  HAHAHAHA!!  That was soooo awful.  What in the world?!

Going to be a rough night.

43 minutes ago, Isopycnic said:

Storm mode would release the "hounds"

Let me know if the hounds need any help!

Unfortunately, we're going to have to start to see some significant north shifts to get to storm mode.

1 hour ago, buckeyefan1 said:

I'm tired of deleting     

Y'all need to get time and a half this week!

18 minutes ago, packbacker said:

It was...just venting about thicknesses.  18z GFS should be fun...I don't know whether we want it to hold or shift NW.

Haha impossible to know at this point.

On another note, I love the pbp in the main thread.  More separation, more interaction.  Colder.  Warmer.  Snow.  Sunny.  Higher. Lower.  Up.  Down.  Fat.  Skinny.  Great times!

6 minutes ago, packbacker said:

JMA say we taint....be funny if this ends up being a 35F 1" QPF rainer and MA to NE get 10-15".  A Dec 09 repeat.

 

I thought the JMA was colder than that.  The 850 line was much farther south on the other image I saw.

Hopefully we reach maximum sucktitude amplification by 12z tomorrow and then start to come back in line from that point.  I expect a load of jack squat from the 18z runs.

9 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Surprise!  

Well, I guess we could all use a little more rain, amirite?

Euro about to go back to no storm again.

Glad it went ahead and put us out of our misery.

7 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Very true  

It needs to come south just a tad!

The GFS was a pretty decent hit for some.

36 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

Ok cash me out with my 9.3 inches of fantasy snow on the gfs. I will call it a winter as well. Thanks for playing. 

You can't be a kid under that scenario.

7 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

1.40" since yesterday. 

 

Nice.  That's fairly robust!

1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said:

You and Shetley! Good luck with that!

Speaking of Shetley, did y'all get any rain?  It's been pouring here.

2 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

A good Miller B with good CAD that transfers to the coast at a lower latitude? Or a bad one with weaker CAD and gets north or our latitude?

Front end snow/ice to rain.  The pattern just doesn't feel right for a suppressed system to me.  But I don't have much model evidence of it yet.  Hopefully, it stays that way.  For a good Miller B or hybrid Miller A/B thing, I want to see a huge high over PA or New England.

1 minute ago, Wow said:

With the 50/50 low trending stronger as the low moves toward the GOM, I'm a little skeptical of that.  but we'll see.

I hope you're right.  I'm not generally a big fan of the Miller B.  On the other hand, I would take the 6z GFS and call it a winter!

Mornin'!  Still feeling good about my Miller B call!

7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

My money is on whichever gives me rain! That solution WOW showed, about what we don't want to happen, to screw up our snow, book it!

You're converting to the Debbie Downer side!

31 minutes ago, packbacker said:

That won't happen...that I can guarantee.  Raleigh hasn't had 10" the past 5 seasons added up.  

My money is still on a Miller B.

Rogue One was good again.

Just now, pcbjr said:

For a split second there I thought you were talking about watching another model run - then it dawned on me that some folks actually have a life! Enjoy - it'll still be warm when you leave the theater!

Hahaha!  48 and rainy.  Just like most of our snowstorms.

Bout to see Rogue One again.  Movie popcorn is the best.

6 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Tea and biscuits.

Yeah, they're probably napping.