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poolz1

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Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    What background state?
  2. poolz1
    18z euro is a bit further south with the ull and flow is a bit flatter on the EC....only thru 90 hours and probably wouldn't be enough to make a huge different but the bleeding temporarily stopped this run.
  3. poolz1
    Come on...we've got a 5 day gfs sounding and a h84 nam with a ull over N Arkansas. What more do you want?
  4. poolz1
    If models were showing some weak surface low forming and racing out it would be one thing...Maybe a long shot but with something like this on the table it's worth following.
  5. poolz1
    GFS at 0z had the ull over Chicago....12z over paducah ky
  6. poolz1
    00z gfs says bowling ball season starts early this year....Hopefully a foot of mashed potatoes comes along with it.
  7. poolz1
    Holding steady at 31.3. Pretty windy at times...had a few nice gusts accompanied by a burst of sleet/frz rain. Maybe the wind has helped keep temps just below freezing.
  8. poolz1
    Not a bad icing event ongoing here. Everything is pretty well covered....white pines starting to droop. 80/20 mod frz rain/sleet. 30/28
  9. poolz1
    moderate frz rain and sleet. Temp has been steady at 29.1
  10. poolz1
    Sleet/frz rain. 29/26
  11. poolz1
    50/50 sleet/snow mix. 29/22
  12. poolz1
    I was just about to ask him the same thing. Would be nice to get a burst of snow with that batch before sleet takes over.
  13. poolz1
    Had to post something...couldn’t leave post #666 linger too long. 26/9
  14. poolz1
    Almost 10 days out...I am fine with the gfs. It seems to be making baby steps each run in the right direction. We have gotten rid of the GL low that was on earlier runs and now made a move toward more HP in SE Can.
  15. poolz1
    Yeah....Either the gfs is up to its usual games or the idea of blocking in that region is just being picked up on again as we get closer. H180 is even more robust...
  16. poolz1
    Dews are ridiculous sat night before precip arrives. Low single digits....
  17. poolz1
    Another tick in the right direction with confluence to the N....Storm looks a bit flatter through 96 as well
  18. poolz1
    Most, if not all frozen...
  19. poolz1
    06z EPS with another incremental nudge in the right direction...A tick slower so will have to keep an eye on that trend as well. 06/00z
  20. poolz1
    yeah...much better CAD signal....stronger high that holds on longer. The clown maps are misleading I think because it slowed things down just a bit and the run ends at 144...as you noted.
  21. poolz1
    Too lazy to get out of bed and step out on the covered patio to experience it but I was close...lol. I agree though...I was actually laying there hoping it would chill out a little while it was at it's peak. It's rare that i'm "on edge" with with the weather.... Roaring winds and rain....
  22. poolz1
    I dont have any stats on the two lines that went through here but man...the house was a-rockin! I am sure it was even crazier up on the ridge tops....
  23. poolz1
    GFS not backing down on the mega NAO block as we near D10. A sight to see for sure.....
  24. poolz1
    Got it...much appreciated. So, in determining the general idea of where the split flow is....flowing, you are looking for where the height lines deviate from that uniform look?
  25. poolz1
    Curious...whats your take on the 06z GEFS? Same timeframe....with a more robust signal cutting under the ridge.
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