JTA66

Maybe it means he's getting ready to put the plow attachment on it.

Yep, 12z NAM finally getting a clue about Sunday.

Same here.

So where are we? March will rock? It can still snow in April? A SSW event will save us? Asking for a friend.

Even the “least snowy solution” would suggest snow. Stick with the “no snowy solution”.

Looks like Redsky’s punt landed inside the two and winter may have just been flagged for another false start. Drizzle, 38F

And I bet half the posters over there are complaining it’s too cold to snow and the other half are already worrying about the late Jan sun angle.

No snow on the ground yet and we do failure well. Too early to second guess the punt.

At least 1989-90 was bone-rattling cold from Thanksgiving to New Years. And we did have the Thanksgiving Eve snowstorm that year. Despite it being a super nino, this year reminds me of 1997-98 so far. All we had that year was 2-3 day arctic outbreak around New Years and that was it (at least here imby). So far all we’ve had this year was a 3-4 day arctic shot at Christmas.

Someone once said, "The Pacific sends us our weather, the Atlantic tells it what to do once it gets here". My concern is even if we do sort out the Pac, we still have to deal with the +AMO. It's nothing new, but the warm pool to our north east around the Gulf of Maine is throwing an extra wrench into things. It would be helpful if we had some coastals or nor'easters to take some heat out of the Atlantic. But I guess this is all part of the feedback loop -- warm Atlantic = ridge, which = storms cutting to our north west, which = no coastals to churn up the waters, which = ridge...and on it goes. No, I'm not part of the "it's-never-going-to-snow-again" crowd. But I do think it will take time (years?) to sort it out. I mean, even if we do get a Nino next year, they tend to suppress tropical activity in the Atlantic which leads to, you guessed it, a warm ocean for 2023-24.

Ch10 guy is talking about how much sunlight we’re gaining each day. Winter’s over baby!!

First day of the month we ended up with below average temperatures. Winter’s back baby!!

Snow hole right over my house—100% guaranteed that map verifies. 28F

No worries, Mike. My gf gave me a couple of winter coats for Christmas. I’m holding her responsible. I keep squinting, looking for flurries. Nothing yet but I do need to wash my windows.

252 days until fall 2023. As we Philly sports fans are used to saying, “There’s always next year.” 29F

Agreed! "...cross-polar flow is a possibility..." "It might take the East Coast cities a while to get involved..." "...will get in on the winter action at some point." "...much milder March." (Milder than Jan??) Sounds like LC is saying we could, might, possibly get a 10-14 day window at some point...maybe...if things work out.

Thanks, Don (I guess). I’ve lived through 5 of the 10. Will a sixth be added this year??

You may have to leave those lights up until next December if we don’t get a pattern shake up

Euro looks like it might want to do something @ 240hrs. Hey, IT'S UNDER 300 HOURS!!!

As bad as this winter has been, I can deal with cutter after cutter vs suppression if given the choice. If VA Beach, Norfolk and the Carolinas were getting smoked while we sat high & dry, I'd probably throw a tantum the likes of which would put Ji to shame. 47F

Remember back in December people were saying we needed a SER cause the blocking would be SO strong we’d be dealing with suppression without it? Yeah, those were the days. 42F, clouds rolling in ahead of our next lakes cutter.

Sign me up! Again, I'm not Debbing, just trying to be realistic about where we are and may be heading. My limited understanding is this Nina is behaving like a Nino. If it continues to do so, we may do well in the second half of winter. But if the atmosphere reverts back to a Nina-like state, we may be fooked. Just no way of knowing on 1/10.

1/23 is my towel date, we're about halfway through met winter at that point. If we don't see signs of or have a pattern change underway by then, we're probably looking at a ratter. So the questions are: does the less hostile looking Pac pattern actually emerge? And if so, does it have staying power? Or is it in-and-out like the December pattern change? Of course, a basic weenie mistake is "pattern change" equals cold & snow. There are plenty of patterns that don't produce. We can go from one shut out pattern to another. But it's only Jan 10th, so I will remain optimistic for now that we see accumulating snow before the season is over. 34F

12z Euro for Saturday...hmmm. Let's just leave it there for now.

Damn! I slept through all the overnight excitement. Ground is damp so it must have been a real humdinger. 35F