JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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GFS also sticking with the colder solution. If only it were a good model...sigh.
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My first guess for central Montco is 6-10". Obviously subject to change.
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March will rock!
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Ah man, big bust heading for NYC. Cantore is there!
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Welcome. Start times vary across the guidance and of course it will be snowing in DE before PA. I’d guess you’re good if you get home before 2-3am (But I’m not a met.)
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I was -2 1/2 years old, so I don’t recall that storm.
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I was thinking about that the other day, but currently it doesn’t look like we’ll meet the wind criteria. We’ll see.
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NAM doesn’t look all that different from the Euro. We puke fatties until Sunday evening, then taint with lighter stuff.
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The weenie in me wants 20+ inches. The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4".
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Unfortunately that's a red flag to me. Still, we're at 72hrs out. Patience!
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12z Ukie looks like the 0z Euro (to my untrained eyes). Front end thump, then any taint would be on the lighter side after the damage is done.
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RGEM at range gets taint back to RT202-ish.
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True. His thoughts may have been more directed towards the Balt/DC area.
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Kind of hard to ignore his take. Waiting for 0z with the additional data from the recon flight. Buckle up!
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Stolen from a red tagger in the MA forum... I had lunch with Louis Uccellini about an hour ago. He's very concerned about a westward trend going forward. Especially with an 850 low going into the OV. He's not convinced (at all) that the current evolution will hold. "I'd rather be in Chicago"
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That's another reason '96 is #1 in my book -- no taint! Even PDII had a period of IP. Now, back to the drool-worthy maps...
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I'll wait for the CRAS to get in range.
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As always, not this storm but the storm after the next storm will be our storm
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Anyone smarter than me care to extrapolate the 84hr NAM? Looks like it's ejecting the Baja low, but that might be me with weenie goggles on
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Bottomed out at 0F, now up to a balmy 14F. Awesome Jebwalk this morning! Noticed some yellow snow, we need a refresh.
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Tracking is half the fun…the ups and downs, the highs and lows, the Jackpots and rug pulls. It’s kind of like Christmas when you were a kid. The anticipation is what made it great. Once you came downstairs and saw what Santa left you, Christmas was over.
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It’s only Tuesday, we don’t want large swings. Subtle ticks from now until week’s end is fine.
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Lighter accumulations on the 18z GFS, but better than what it $hite out at 12z
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I imagine virga warnings will be hoisted if it’s that cold while we wait for the storm.
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Ha! Got my suppressed look with the GFS
