chuckster2012

7 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

These positive tilted/southern stream dominant systems always underperform with cold sector precip.  Cold sector precip is narrow/fleeting where it occurs.  Without a northern stream component to phase with this will be a non-event except for maybe a 25 mile wide area that gets a quick 2-3" of slop.

Phasing is not required to get lots of heavy precip. Wind, maybe, but it could still be a hellacious storm if enough cold air is available..

Move it south a little more..

If only!!

So it caved to the GFS? Geeez..

1 hour ago, snowlover2 said:

Today is the 15 year anniversary of the 2004 pre Christmas winter storm. Won't ever forget those 2 days.

https://www.isws.illinois.edu/pubdoc/CR/ISWSCR2005-03.pdf

Record storm for me. A two parter that dumped 26" on me with no ice. Incredibly, it was gone in a week!

32 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

still a rainer with no real cold air to tap into

GFS has Chicago with 2" of backside snow. A step in the right direction for you.

Actually, it probably has nailed it. When it cuts that much it very rarely comes back down... 

3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

GFS has had an issue with overamping some storms in the long range but watch it nail this one

How do you know it nailed it when it hasn't happened yet?

56 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

0z GFS providing some fantasy eye candy.

Eye candy? For whom?

Melting here now. 33°..

3.5" for me, now turned to light Frz rn. At least I've got 7" for the season now even if short lived both times..

2" in one hour here in SE Indiana. 3" on ground here. .

Picked up a quick 2" down here in Jennings County. Light-moderate snow now. Might get 1 more inch. .

1 minute ago, Indystorm said:

Yeah....current prediction is 4-6 inches along I-70 corridor by Tuesday morning.  Freezing rain risk currently thought of as being farther south to the Ohio Valley.  Hope forecast is right.

I'd rather have just rain than freezing rain... 

I know I'm in the minority here but I can live with this trend. If I can get 3" that would give me 7" for the year with January being our snowiest month down here still to come..

11 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

6z NAM joins the other models farther south.

How far south?

8 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

 

Could it be....climo?

Of course, but it's not like we don't get snow in December! I remember several big snows. This week in 1989 we got 7" ... In the infamous winter of 77-78 we had near 60" , so I can hope.

51 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

Clearly the NAM has picked up the torch for us Mitt Peeps. GFS carried it so long it just got tired. 

Now I'm back to all rain. The Euro is my only hope...

9 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

Freezing rain now showing up in my NWS IND forecast for Sunday night and Monday.  Ick!

Randy Ollis disagrees!

2 hours ago, King James said:

Gross

Looks good to me, but I'm skeptical...

44 minutes ago, Stebo said:

It is north of that, its between Indy and the River.

Over me...sigh...

1 hour ago, Stebo said:

I mean it isnt even Christmas yet and you are Southern Indiana. Evansville only averages 12.1" and Cincinnati is around 16" I believe. Climo is pretty against you getting snow of significance in general let alone this year.

Yeah, I know. I guess the 3-4" we got in the November storm got my hopes up..

As usual, I'm in the warm sector again...

49 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

At least some improvement on the 00z Euro.

Like what?

GFS and Nam now showing a band of 3-5" of snow for the SE portion of this forum ( eastern KY. and SE Ohio ) post frontal with the rainy Monday system..