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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. thJust remember that means that in Cleveland they are likely getting a foot and a half lol. There were a couple like that though, January of 19 but wasn't there also an event before Thanksgiving a few years ago that we we were forecasted for a good bit of snow, but ended up 33 and rain while Norther Beaver County got 8 inches?
  2. Agree. I'll take the NAM solution of 33 and rain as opposed to some solutions that are 29 and freezing rain.
  3. The NAM is extremely amped up. As is tradition the low gets up to us almost lol.
  4. I mean, if that happened it would be an epic disaster, but I agree with what other have said that ZR and 31 won't really accumulate. Now if it is 28 degrees and pounding rain then we have a problem.
  5. We have seen plenty of times we have been in the bullseye 2-4 days out only to see it drift 100-200 miles the wrong direction with the MLK storm being one of those. Maybe this time can go the other way. Am I right in saying we need a very robust high up in Canada to keep this as south as possible?
  6. Would you back off? That strom had multiple models showing 12-18 inches for several days. It was an absolutely massive bust when AGC got 7 inches and didn't even hit warning level in a ton of spots.
  7. I'll listen to you on this as you kind of nailed the MLK storm a few days in advance and said there were pretty major concerns.
  8. I’d be fine with an advisory event, as long as we don’t get a boat load of ice. This one has zero expectations so anything is a bonus.
  9. Gotta love how these models continually end up 200 miles apart. It’s pretty crazy.
  10. Well the NAM reeled me back in. It was a pretty huge south jump.
  11. Fairly certain this includes sleet. It was like 4-6 inches of snow and 4-6 inches of sleet.
  12. I was giving Ray a hard time on the NE thread because he was complaining about "only" getting a foot.....I was like man, I've had IMBY one foot plus storm in the last 12 years and only two this century. I'm pretty sure they've had like 15+. I do understand that missing 30 inches by 50 miles is painful, but we've done that here so many times. Not the 30 inches but even our one really good storm last year in December 75-100 miles NE got 30 inches.
  13. Yeah, it never happens, but we certainly are capable of .5 an inch and I do not want to see that at all. A sleet storm would be ok though as long as it isn't a storm we are predicted to get a foot and sleet ruins it.
  14. Ehhhhhhh I do NOT want what the Euro depicts of like 1.5 inches of it.
  15. The lack of LES is pretty striking in places like Cleveland, Erie, even Buffalo though I think they have done better, but especially Syracuse. I know a lot of Erie and Cleveland's totals are from LES usually but this year the MLK storm gave them a bunch, and I'd imagine that Youngstown's deficit is also from a lack of LES. Also its weird to me that Akron has a much lower average than Cleveland and Youngstown.
  16. I agree with what you said before....just rain. I do not have any desire to see an ice storm
  17. Agreed. It was such a shame to waste that potential. It was a decent storm but honestly pretty run of the mill that for many of us was no more than an advisory level event.
  18. Even if this showed us being in great shape 24 hours out, I would fully expect a system like this to have P-Type issues 50-100 miles further north than modeled.
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