Cry more. Enjoy the warmth, it’s the only warmth you got.
A BN November is absolutely not evidence that “this year is different than last” sorry. That’s not rooted in science.
Fish is trolling, but it’s not outrageous. Average is average for a reason. I’m not sure anyone would be surprised if after the wet 6 months we’ve had, we dried out some over the next six.
They aren’t guesses though. Strong Nino climo is well established that Decembers are generally hostile, especially in SNE.
Talking about how far away it is is nothing more than a defense mechanism. It doesn’t change the Nino climo