Who knows.... we’ve seen models miss before... Jan 15 blizzard for starters. I’ll tell you what... if it’s off by 30-50 miles someone is getting a good amount of snow
I still feel like this thing may have some tricks with it. It’s close enough that someone could be surprised. Even up to ORH... I wouldn’t count out something.... still a bit of time
It doesn’t snow at H5. The problem really is there is very little precip on the western side of the low. That’s why it’s got to be pretty much on top of us for anything substantial