Wxoutlooksblog

I think most of these storms will probably continue to dry up prior to getting to me. Still there's a chance one sneaks through I think the later is the more likely. Tomorrow some peaks of sun and mid-upper 80s with higher humidity with the approaching cold front should lead to somewhat more widespread t-storm activity later tomorrow afternoon & tomorrow night. There's still just a chance that the bulk of the activity stays west and southwest of NYC only crossing through the area as it weakens tomorrow night. But it could hold together and give us a soaking too. We'll see. WX/PT

Great WAR late in the forecast period on Euro & EPS. Looks like lots of 90+ days on the way. We haven't seen this in quite a while. WX/PT

My 5th floor apartment in Douglaston facing west with open sky got so hot with the westward facing wall of the building and now an easterly wind I am running my a/c full blast to try to fully get the heat out. I ran it all night last night and probably will need to run it over night another night to finally get it comfortably cool. Then it warms up with plenty of humidity on Saturday. Unless we sneak a 90 in on Saturday, Sunday, Monday or Tuesday (and it's unlikely since winds will be out of the s-sw) I do not think we see another 90+ day in NYC until the second or more likely the third week of July. WX/PT

Possibly hot again by Sunday through Tuesday. WX/PT

Go out and celebrate. I was supposed to go to a cocktail party in Manhattan but decided to stay put. WX/PT

88 WX/PT

For the Euro we once knew, it is. I don't think it's quite as good today. WX/PT

I am doubtful that we hit 100. The pattern is too active with too many pop-up storms. Once the dew points get to a certain point lift in the atmosphere will easily pop storms. I am looking for 93 at Central Park tomorrow and 98 on Tuesday, 92 on Wednesday. WX/PT

EWR always hits 90 on marginally hot days. They should make it. But Central Park with 81 at 3PM and a high thin overcast is I think unlikely. Yes there could be a spike over the next 2-3 hours but I think mid-upper 80s would probably do it for today. Look for an extremely warm and humid overnight, however and temperatures probably to rise to 90-95 degrees by lunchtime tomorrow. I am comfortable going for a high temperature of 86 today and 93 tomorrow, 98 Tuesday. But we shall see how possible storms affect this. They should be well to our north mostly. WX/PT

There's no storm east of here right now. All the action is well to our south. Storms that were developing to our nw are falling apart as the high pressure ridge builds in. But time is short for Central Park to get from their 1PM temperature of 78 to their expected high of 92. I don't think they're going to make it. WX/PT

Yes the 12Z GFS and CMC are back to more reasonable temperatures as the week progresses. From Wednesday on upper 80s to lower 90s appears to be the rule with much cooler temperatures and showers/storms Wednesday night through Friday but let's remember how erratic the models are whereas the Euro has been consistently hot for most of the week and into next weekend. WX/PT

No the bigger indication is how few 0-10 degree days we see. WX/PT

As a strong believer in climate change and global warming I think this is ridiculous and outrageous. There have been heatwaves going way back. By allowing yourself to rate climate change according to the weather on a day or two you are promoting the ability of deniers to come back when it snows or is cold for a day or two and say, "see there's no climate change". It's absurd and it is NOT what climate change is. It is far bigger and based on statistics globally over 100s of years. It is not a hot day or a snowstorm. WX/PT

You also don't see 582dm thicknesses over NYC often. WX/PT

Again 2 nights in a row. GFS significant backdoor cold front comes through on Wednesday. CMC, backdoor cold front remains to our north for the entire week. It's the difference between a 3-4 day heatwave starting Sunday and a 5-6 day heatwave starting Sunday. Whatever, upper 90s to lower 100s likely at least Monday & Tuesday. Notably, GFS has a second surge of 90+ degree heat later in the period for at least Saturday 6/28 & Sunday 6/29. WX/PT