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Posts posted by MIstorm97
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HRRR and RAP bring the mix line dangerously close to Detroit now. Snow totals have improved a little, but worried we flirt with sleet and then the dry slot.
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6 minutes ago, mimillman said:
Can you post the DGEX please?
I hope to see the Brazilian and Korean models myself
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7 hours ago, RogueWaves said:
At least the drying and dying seem to have taken a pause. The bar is set so low for me personally, this will have to work really really hard to NOT be my biggest event of the season. You guys in SEMI on the other hand..
The bar is a 42hr duration 3.7” event. It’s a pretty low bar here too. I’d take the 6z hrrr and run and get about 4”. 2-4” here still seems like a good call. Honestly wonder if we’ll even get a WWA
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9 minutes ago, hlcater said:
I wont be disappointed because I'll be in a coma by the time this starts!
(real talk, the 00z suite isnt totally awful for our area, so we'll see...........)
I've been in a coma! Trends have just been brutal farther east. Hopefully someone out there scores
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Really not much to add from the Michigan side. Confluence from the northern wave diving in from Canada really starts to shear out the southern wave by the time it's approaching the area. Lose the good dynamics that areas farther west have. Probably will be contending with the northern edge of the mid level dryslot too on Tuesday. Some concern too of the low level flow from the ENE keeping some drier air in the mix for longer, eating away at the snow totals. Still look to get a period of moderate snow, but this is nowhere near how things looked a few days ago. Real chance today's overachiever ends up having higher totals imby than this storm. 2-4" looks good for now for SEMI.
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2 minutes ago, hlcater said:
Held serve for the places that matter!
Ready 2 b disappointed?
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1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said:
I get posting a noteworthy map, but this guy may as well be a hosting site
Cancelling my pivotal plus and wxbell (lol) subscriptions right now
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49 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:
I'm at 17.2" on the season but only 3.4" in January!
This wave certainly helped bump up the January total here haha, and there were a couple other days were we did a little better than you and DTW.
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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:
I posted in the January thread, lol I forgot this is the place to post that stuff now haha. We had 0.6" here. DTW 0.5". Snow came down heavy for a time in that narrow band. It hugged Detroits immediate northern suburbs. It seemed like for much of Southeast Michigan it was a general half inch snowfall give or take a few tenths but in that band including Detroit, Livonia, Novi, Royal Oak etc it appears 2-3" fell. Definitely more than forecast. I am assuming with the main event tomorrow night it will be similar in that bans may develop but good luck pinning down where ahead of time. how much did you end up with today?
Picked up 2.8” of snow on the snow board. Nice overachiever today. There were even a few 3-4” reports where banding was the most persistent today. The snow was very fluffy, a rare sight this season. That band the hung on to the 96/696 corridor was ripping for a while. I’m now up to 8.1” this month and 18.9” this season. Feels like we’re cheating our way to a normal January.
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Heavy snow here along 696. Fair amount of accidents today. Good rippage rn...probably will be better than Monday night
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1 minute ago, Stebo said:
Yeah I think I'm done wasting time on this storm.
3km manages to be even worse than the 12km
Glad we agree now that this storm isn’t worth bothering over here in SEMI. Congrats Iowa
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Just now, hlcater said:
If we start trending towards 20" somewhere, I might just have to go find it.
Road trip to Iowa
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3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:
12z Euro really craps out the precip shield as you head east of Iowa. East of Chicago? Yikes!
Yikes is right. SEMI in particular gets really screwed this run.
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19 hours ago, Kitchener poster said:
How many people here work in meteorology? Just curious. Those that do not, why are you interested enough in this field to participate or lurk on this forum?
For me I study plant diseases and I am always interested in the environment.
I was a met major for a little while but decided I wanted weather as a hobby instead. Actually was a student volunteer at DTX for a summer, so I’m pretty familiar with the NWS side of everything. Got a degree in secondary science education (fire up Chips). Most likely will be getting a masters degree in administration (maybe outdoors related) or environmental science or something.
I’m quite active in the storm chasing community and routinely chase everywhere from good ol’ Illinois to Texas and Wyoming. Otherwise, like most others here, I’ve had a deep passion for the weather since a young age. Love the intricate details about how the science works too. Several posters here know me outside the board too which is cool.- 2
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1 minute ago, Stevo6899 said:
Still blows its loads quickly and low weakens as it slides east. Looks good for chicago and WSW.
Must be the lack of arctic air here that lowers the totals
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Hard not to be cautiously optimistic looking at guidance. Haven’t had a spread the wealth track like that in a few years. Glad we don’t have to rely on a phase here to get the big dog storm. Still have concerns that the northern stream suppresses this to the south, but it’ll also keep this from just cutting north. Liking the CHI-DET corridor fo sho
That UKMET run is the literally dream. Deepens to 990mb just south of Toledo. Would probably be getting blizzard conditions in some of the region with a sizable area of 30-45kt 925mb winds. The area of 1.0”+ QPF with ratios definitely a little better than 10:1 would get big dog totals. Taking that run to the bank
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0.9” so far in Berkley. Probably will eek out another tenth or two. Would’ve been nice to get in on that band along M59
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Got another DAB+ yesterday. So hard to contain my excitement from all this snow
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Solid DAB+ on the grass. Nothing on the concrete. Still a top 10 event
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No hoar frost, snow pack is effectively down to piles, ground isn’t even frozen. Tough scene around these parts as we head into 10 days of zzzz
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Here’s a few pictures from the event!
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11 minutes ago, LansingWeather said:
Yeah, i intercepted that band as it was evident it was going to be through here. Got to haslett and had 45-50dbZ overhead. It was legit snowballs falling from the sky!
This was some of the most incredible snow I had ever seen, haslett got 3-4ish" in like 90 mins.
It was so hard to drive in it. I was not expecting this in the least but boy did I love it. In the morning the trees were (and still are!) gorgeous!I’m glad I took the drive from Detroit to Lansing. Rates were incredible and the snowflakes were huge. I96 was just a crapshoot. Completely snow covered and icy...and visibility was a few hundred feet at times in the band. Had to take video of the event because it was just too good.
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Gonna go with a call of 2.5” of snow for tomorrow morning’s event
Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
One of my met buddies is in Lincoln, NE and already has 5” down. Gonna be a major crush job there.